New research, May 21-27, 2018

A selection of new climate related research articles is shown below.

Climate change mitigation

Climate change communication

Climate change as a polarizing cue: Framing effects on public support for low-carbon energy policies

"• We evaluate how framing affects support for four low-carbon energy policies among U.S. partisans.

• For Republicans, a climate change frame lowers support relative to pollution or security frames.

• We find framing effects for renewable energy, carbon tax, and fuel efficiency policies, but not nuclear power.

• No framing effects are observed among Democrats or Independents.

• Results support a motivated reasoning rather than heuristic processing mechanism."

Emission savings

Impact of cutting meat intake on hidden greenhouse gas emissions in an import-reliant city (open access)

Domestic energy consumption and climate change mitigation

Carbon footprints of grain-, forage-, and energy-based cropping systems in the North China plain

Exploring the development of electric vehicles under policy incentives: A scenario-based system dynamics model

Profiling energy efficiency tendency: A case for Turkish households

Rising wages and energy consumption transition in rural China

Framing policy on low emissions vehicles in terms of economic gains: Might the most straightforward gain be delivered by supply chain activity to support refuelling? (open access)

Climate change and the building sector: Modelling and energy implications to an office building in southern Europe

Energy production

Promises and limitations of nuclear fission energy in combating climate change

"In a strategy to eliminate all non-CCS coal power stations, some 1600?MW of nuclear power would be required and sufficient to cover the base load for the electrical energy supply system. This nuclear expansion should be accompanied by effective international safety assurances, including a mandate to stop construction of unsafe nuclear power plants. In the long term, after 2065, we expect inherently safe molten salt thorium reactors to compete with fusion reactors."

Has the relationship between non-fossil fuel energy sources and CO2 emissions changed over time? A cross-national study, 2000–2013

"Wind’s association with CO2 emissions became increasingly negative after the Great Recession (i.e., suppressed emissions at a greater rate). Nuclear’s association with CO2resembled a distorted U-shaped curve over time. Biomass’ elasticity fluctuated between positive and negative values. Solar and geothermal’s elasticity remained fairly consistent over the course of the analysis, and hydro’s elasticity increased over time but remained negative throughout the study’s temporal period."

Scarcity in abundance: The challenges of promoting energy access in the Southern African region

Insights into wind sites: Critically assessing the innovation, cost, and performance dynamics of global wind energy development

Analysis on the synergistic effect of sustainable development of coal industry under 1.5°C scenario

Palm oil supply chain complexity impedes implementation of corporate no-deforestation commitments

Expansion of nuclear power technology to new countries – SMRs, safety culture issues, and the need for an improved international safety regime

The burden of sustainability: Limits to sustainable bioenergy development in Norway

Estimating the EROI of whole systems for 100% renewable electricity supply capable of dealing with intermittency

Electricity generation technologies: Comparison of materials use, energy return on investment, jobs creation and CO₂ emissions reduction

Steady state of energy: Feedbacks and leverages for promoting or preventing sustainable energy system development

The changing risk perception towards nuclear power in China after the Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan

Gone with the wind: A learning curve analysis of China's wind power industry

Explaining technological change in the US wind industry: Energy policies, technological learning, and collaboration

An information theory based robustness analysis of energy mix in US States

U.S. climate policy and the regional economics of electricity generation

Climate Policy

The global impacts of US climate policy: a model simulation using GCAM-TU and MAGICC

"Simulations by the Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse-gas Induced Climate Change (MAGICC) indicate that the temperature increase by 2100 would rise by 0.081°C–0.161°C compared to the three original RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) if US emissions were kept at their 2015 levels until 2100. The probability of staying below 2°C would decrease by 6–9% even if the US resumes mitigation efforts for achieving its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) target after 2025. It is estimated by GCAM-TU that, without US participation, increased reduction efforts are required for the rest of the world, including developing countries, in order to achieve the 2°C goal, resulting in 18% higher global cumulative mitigation costs from 2015 to 2100."

Striving for equivalency across the Alberta, British Columbia, Ontario and Québec carbon pricing systems: the Pan-Canadian carbon pricing benchmark

Can India grow and live within a 1.5 degree CO₂ emissions budget?

Ecological modernization and responses for a low?carbon future in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries

Whose carbon is burnable? Equity considerations in the allocation of a “right to extract”

The role of a low carbon fuel standard in achieving long-term GHG reduction targets

Achievability of the Paris Agreement targets in the EU: demand-side reduction potentials in a carbon budget perspective (open access)

Policy discussion for sustainable integrated electricity expansion in South Africa

Do electric vehicles need subsidies? Ownership costs for conventional, hybrid, and electric vehicles in 14 U.S. cities

Geoengineering

CESM1(WACCM) Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering Large Ensemble (GLENS) Project (open access)

Negative emissions: Part 1—research landscape and synthesis (open access)

Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects (open access)