Nature Climate Change highlights Susan Natali's Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region, observing:
Warming in the Arctic is causing soils to decompose more rapidly, even during winter. Now, estimates of winter carbon dioxide loss indicate that it can offset carbon gains during the growing season, meaning that the region is a source of carbon.
We need another positive feedback like we need a hole in the head. Outcomes like this increase the weight of mitigation lifts we are currently failing to perform.
Geophysical Research Letters notes an article by D. Saint?Martin, Fast?Forward to Perturbed Equilibrium Climate, remarking:
The Earth system responds on a range of timescales to a change in radiative forcing, and full equilibration takes centuries to millennia in many models. In their recent paper, [D.Saint-Martin et al] propose a technique for reaching a faster equilibrium temperature response to alternative CO2 concentration levels by briefly overshooting the desired concentration level to warm the deep ocean faster than a conventional step?change experiment. Understanding how these timescales interact is essential for better representing the relationship between transient climate change and the warming which should be expected as greenhouse gas concentrations stabilize. But, the technique also raises new possibilities about how Earth System Models could be developed, and whether we could gain the capacity to spin up alternative model configurations such as perturbed parameter simulations or alternative control states to explore historical forcing uncertainty.
Adjusting input variables to dairy cattle so as to optimize for maximized milk output and minimized CO2 hoofprint is explored by Brandt et al with their Intensification of dairy production can increase the GHG mitigation potential of the land use sector in East Africa. The authors find that— according to their results— there is potential to significantly expand dairy production while distinctly shrinking both CO2 intensity and (less dramatically) overall emissions from this sector, while also reducing loss of forest productivity. The devil may be in the details and the need to attend to those; the authors note the potential for problems if inputs are not scrupulously sourced.
Physical science of anthropogenic global warming
Rapid CO2 release from eroding permafrost in seawater
Water vapour adjustments and responses differ between climate drivers (open access)
Observation of global warming and global warming effects
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
Temperatures across Europe: evidence of time trends
The Indian Ocean Deep Meridional Overturning Circulation in three Ocean Reanalysis Products
Patch aggregation trends of the global climate landscape under future global warming scenario
Are global tropical cyclones moving slower in a warming climate? (open access)
Modeling global warming and global warming effects
Fast?Forward to Perturbed Equilibrium Climate
How Robust is the Atmospheric Response to Projected Arctic Sea?Ice Loss Across Climate Models?
Testing for dynamical dependence ?? Application to the surface mass balance over Antarctica
Sea?level science on the frontier of usability (open access)
Is the net cloud radiative effect constrained to be uniform over the tropical warm pools?
Visualizing climate change adaptation: An effective tool for agricultural outreach?
Understanding future changes in tropical cyclogenesis using Self-Organizing Maps
Enhanced equatorial warming causes deep-tropical contraction and subtropical monsoon shift
Humans dealing with our global warming
Taxing crude oil: A financing alternative to mitigate climate change?
The impact of climate mitigation measures on near term climate forcers (open access)
Emotional foundations of the public climate change divide
Social readiness of adaptation technologies
Review of indicators for comparing environmental effects across energy sources (open access)
Frames, facts, and the science of communicating environmental crises
Measuring climate resilience by linking shocks to development outcomes
Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world
Climate change and disasters: The ethics of leadership
Biology and global warming
Pathway dependence of ecosystem responses in China to 1.5 °C global warming (open access)
Priority effects will impede range shifts of temperate tree species into the boreal forest
Global warming and artificial shorelines reshape seashore biogeography
Multi?scale integration of tree recruitment and range dynamics in a changing climate
Ecological resilience of Arctic marine food webs to climate change
The effect of plant physiological responses to rising CO2 on global streamflow
Special:
The end of the wait for Climate Sensitivity?
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Posted by Doug Bostrom on Tuesday, 22 October, 2019
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