Skeptical Science exists for the purpose of improving public capacity for critical thinking about anthropogenic climate change. Effective critical analysis requires a firm basis of competent information, and for our purpose the wellsprings of fundamental understanding are found in peer-reviewed academic literature, our best grasp of how Earth's climate operates and how we're changing its operation and thus changing a myriad of dependencies on climate behavior. New Research provides a direct, distilled and easily accessed link to ongoing progress on understanding and coping with the climate change we're causing.
Beyond its immediate functional objective, there is a big picture visible in the content of New Research, with some details captured in that image themselves helpful for assessing the worth of concern over our recently invented form of rapid climate change.
Those are just a few examples of the meta-message of New Research when a week's listings are asked "what's the takeaway?. No spin is necessary. Scientifically speaking, we have our act together on climate change, and those claiming otherwise or offering unrealistically hopeful assessments have little or no grounds for their stance, just by a glance at any week's edition.
Research on public policy replies to climate change for mitigation and adaptation purposes found in New Research paints a fairly grim picture of the monumental challenge we face in coming to grips with our problem. The tractability of this problem is as much a matter of human nature and our innate ability for certain modes of cognition as is it down to technical capacity. We won't be able to optimize our way out of the trouble we've created without doing a better job of thinking. New Research is a small part of this work.
We're gradually incorporating more API opportunities for sourcing article metadata in our listings. Due to constraints on available labor, this is a rolling operation. Readers may notice that (in this issue, for instance) some articles are missing some or all metadata, a situation soon to be corrected as API integration is driven further. This missing information is not a reflection on the worth of a given article.
Physical science of climate change, effects
The effect of the differences in near-infrared water vapour continuum models on the absorption of solar radiation
Menang et al 2021 Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics
DOI: 10.1007/s00703-021-00781-6
Observations of climate change, effects
Current Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium
Caesar et al 2021 Nature Geoscience
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00699-z
A 30-year reconstruction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation shows no decline
Worthington et al 2020
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/os-17-285-2021
Feng et al 2020 Journal of Climate
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0216.1
Three-decadal destabilization of vegetation activity on the Mongolian Plateau
Zhao et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd81d
Potential role of permafrost thaw on increasing Siberian river discharge
Wang et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe326
Increasing tropical cyclone intensity and potential intensity in the subtropical Atlantic around Bermuda from an ocean heat content perspective 1955–2019
Hallam et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe493
Elevation-dependent trends in extreme snowfall in the French Alps from 1959 to 2019
Le Roux et al 2021
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-64 (preprint)
1/4 to 1/3 of observed warming trends in China from 1980 to 2015 are attributed to land use changes
Shen & Zhao 2021 Climatic Change
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03045-9
Climate Extremes across the North American Arctic in Modern Reanalyses
Avila-Diaz et al 2021 Journal of Climate
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0093.1
Change in mean and extreme temperature at Yingkou station in Northeast China from 1904 to 2017
Xue et al 2021 Climatic Change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-02981-w
Surface air pressure–based reconstruction of tropical cyclones affecting Hong Kong since the late nineteenth century
Zhang et al 2021 Climatic Change
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03028-w
Recent increasing frequency of compound summer drought and heatwaves in Southeast Brazil
Geirinhas et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe0eb
Decadal-scale hotspot methane ebullition within lakes following abrupt permafrost thaw
Anthony et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc848
Increasing rates of subalpine tree mortality linked to warmer and drier summers
Andrus et al 2020
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.13634
The implications of the recently recognized mid-20th century shift in the Earth system
Turney & Fogwill 2021 The Anthropocene Review
DOI: 10.1177/2053019621995526
Recent changes in temperature and precipitation indices in the Southern Carpathians, Romania (1961–2018)
Micu et al 2021 Theoretical and Applied Climatology
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-021-03560-w
Extreme Snow Events along the Coast of the Northeast United States: Potential Changes due to Global Warming
Chen et al 2021 Journal of Climate
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0197.1
Inventory and changes of rock glacier creep speeds in Ile Alatau and Kungöy Ala-Too, northern Tien Shan, since the 1950s
Kääb et al 2021 The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-927-2021
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
Remote sensing of greenhouse gas emissions
Zhang et al 2019 Vietnam Journal of Science, Technology and Engineering,
Open Access DOI: 10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.1010-1012.1258
The Observed Relationship between Pacific SST Variability and Hadley Cell Extent Trends in Reanalyses
Rollings & Merlis 2021 Journal of Climate
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0410.1
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects MSWE
Decomposing the Drivers of Polar Amplification with a Single-Column Model
Climate hazard indices projections based on CORDEX-CORE, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble
Coppola 2020
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-15001
Future extreme heat wave events using Bayesian heat wave intensity-persistence day-frequency model and their uncertainty
Lee et al 2021 Atmospheric Research
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105541
Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios
Müller et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc
Permafrost sensitivity to global warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C in the Northern Hemisphere
Liu et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd6a8
On the statistical properties of sea-ice lead fraction and heat fluxes in the Arctic
Ólason et al 2021 The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-1053-2021
A Multivariate Assessment of Climate Change Projections over South America using CMIP5
Thaler et al 2020
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/joc.7072
Nonlinear Response of Atmospheric Blocking to Early Winter Barents–Kara Seas Warming: An Idealized Model Study
Chen et al 2021 Journal of Climate
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0720.1
Ensemble projection of city-level temperature extremes with stepwise cluster analysis
Lu et al 2021 Climate Dynamics
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05644-9
Advances in climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Evaluation of the performance of bias-corrected CORDEX regional climate models in reproducing Baro–Akobo basin climate
Mengistu et al 2021 Theoretical and Applied Climatology
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-021-03552-w
An observational equatorial Atlantic Ocean constraint on Indian monsoon precipitation projections
Shamal & Sanjay 2021 Climate Dynamics
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05703-1
On the uncertainty of future projections of Marine Heatwave events in the North Atlantic Ocean
Plecha et al 2021 Climate Dynamics
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05529-3
Understanding the model representation of clouds based on visible and infrared satellite observations
Geiss et al 2021
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2021-5 (preprint)
Cryosphere & climate change
On the Role of the Antarctic Slope Front on the Occurrence of the Weddell Sea Polynya under Climate Change
Lockwood et al 2021 Journal of Climate
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0069.1
SAR-derived flow velocity and its link to glacier surface elevation change and mass balance
A mechanism for regional variations in snowpack melt under rising temperature
On the Generation of Weddell Sea Polynyas in a High-Resolution Earth System Model
Kurtakoti et al 2021 Journal of Climate
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0229.1
Permafrost sensitivity to global warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C in the Northern Hemisphere
Liu et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd6a8
Changes in precipitation and air temperature contribute comparably to permafrost degradation in a warmer climate
Mekonnen et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc444
The 32-year record-high surface melt in 2019/2020 on the northern George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula
Banwell et al 2021 The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-909-2021
Paleoclimate
Eddy permitting simulations of freshwater injection from major Northern Hemisphere outlets during the last deglacial
Love et al 2021
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/cp-2021-15 (preprint)
Biology & climate change
Three-decadal destabilization of vegetation activity on the Mongolian Plateau
Zhao et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd81d
Impact of climate change on sensitive marine and extreme terrestrial ecosystems: Recent progresses and future challenges
Chen 2021 Ambio
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s13280-020-01446-1
Global warming triggers coral reef bleaching tipping point
Goreau & Hayes 2021 Ambio
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01512-2
Climate change reshapes the eco?evolutionary dynamics of a Neotropical seed dispersal system
Sales et al 2021 Global Ecology and Biogeography
DOI: 10.1111/geb.13271
Reduced seawater pH alters marine biofilms with impacts for marine polychaete larval settlement
Espinel-Velasco et al 2021 Marine Environmental Research
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2021.105291
Species-specific climate–growth interactions determine tree species dynamics in mixed Central European mountain forests
Kašpar et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fb
Climate warming extends growing season but not reproductive phase of terrestrial plants
Liu et al 2021 Global Ecology and Biogeography
DOI: 10.1111/geb.13269
Risk and vulnerability of Mongolian grasslands under climate change
Nandintsetseg et al 2020
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdb5b
Increasing rates of subalpine tree mortality linked to warmer and drier summers
Andrus et al 2020
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.13634
Warming matters: alpine plant responses to experimental warming
Fazlioglu & Wan 2021 Climatic Change
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-02996-3
Physiological responses of Skeletonema costatum to the interactions of seawater acidification and the combination of photoperiod and temperature
Li et al 2020
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-1439-2021
GHG sources & sinks, flux
Drivers of change in US residential energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, 1990–2015
African burned area and fire carbon emissions are strongly impacted by small fires undetected by coarse resolution satellite data
Ramo et al 2021 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011160118
Estimates of methane emissions from Chinese rice fields using the DNDC model
Urban-focused satellite CO2 observations from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-3: A first look at the Los Angeles megacity
Kiel et al 2021 Remote Sensing of Environment
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2021.112314
Future carbon emissions from global mangrove forest loss
Adame et al 2021 Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1101/2020.08.27.271189
Decadal-scale hotspot methane ebullition within lakes following abrupt permafrost thaw
Anthony et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc848
Climate implications on forest above- and belowground carbon allocation patterns along a tropical elevation gradient on Mt. Kilimanjaro (Tanzania)
Sierra Cornejo et al 2021 Oecologia
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00442-021-04860-8
High-resolution forest carbon mapping for climate mitigation baselines over the RGGI region, USA
Tang et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd2ef
Trends and drivers of African fossil fuel CO 2 emissions 1990–2017
CO2 removal & mitigation science & engineering
Carbon prospecting in tropical forests for climate change mitigation
Koh et al 2021 Nature Communications
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-21560-2
Geoengineering climate
Estimating the potential cooling effect of cirrus thinning achieved via the seeding approach
Liu & Shi 2021
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2021-148 (preprint)
Decarbonization
Demand-side decarbonization and electrification: EMF 35 JMIP study
Demand response and energy justice: A critical overview of ethical risks and opportunities within digital, decentralised, and decarbonised futures
Calver & Simcock 2021 Energy Policy
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112198
Climate change communications & cognition
Considering attitudinal uncertainty in the climate change skepticism continuum
Haltinner & Sarathchandra 2021 Global Environmental Change
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102243
Barriers, emotions, and motivational levers for lifestyle transformation in Norwegian household decarbonization pathways
Moberg et al 2021 Climatic Change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03018-y
Agenda-Setting Effects of Climate Change Litigation: Interrelations Across Issue Levels, Media, and Politics in the Case of Urgenda Against the Dutch Government
Wonneberger & Vliegenthart 2021 Environmental Communication
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/17524032.2021.1889633
Media Framing of Climate Change Action in Carbon Locked-in Developing Countries: Adaptation or Mitigation?
Cochelin et al 2019 International Journal for Research in Applied Science and Engineering Technology
Open Access DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7091-1791-0_8
News Media Framing of Grassroots Innovations in Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden
Magnusson et al 2021 Environmental Communication
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/17524032.2021.1880460
Reviewing the scope and thematic focus of 100 000 publications on energy consumption, services and social aspects of climate change: a big data approach to demand-side mitigation
Creutzig et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd78b
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Understanding the combined impacts of weeds and climate change on crops
Vilà et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe14b
Guidelines for co-creating climate adaptation plans for fisheries and aquaculture
Pham et al 2021 Climatic Change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03041-z
Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios
Müller et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc
Do integrated landscape approaches moderate climate impacts on livelihoods? A review of the evidence from agricultural landscapes
Duncan et al 2021 Regional Environmental Change
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-021-01754-6
Participatory modelling for climate change adaptation: the poultry sector in Nigeria
Olabisi et al 2021 Climate Policy
Open Access DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2021.1891019
The role of crop diversity in climate change adaptation: insights from local observations to inform decision making in agriculture
Labeyrie et al 2021 Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
DOI: 10.1016/j.cosust.2021.01.006
Economics & finance of climate change & mitigation
Power sector investment implications of climate impacts on renewable resources in Latin America and the Caribbean
Santos da Silva et al 2021 Nature Communications
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-21502-y
Climate change mitigation public policy research
The technological and social timelines of climate mitigation: Lessons from 12 past transitions
Reducing vehicle cold start emissions through carbon pricing: evidence from Germany
Frondel et al 2021 SSRN Electronic Journal
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abde06
Dynamic interactive effect and co-design of SO2 emission tax and CO2 emission trading scheme
Increasing the ambition of mitigation action in small emitters: the case of Mauritius
Deenapanray 2021 Climate Policy
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2021.1886898
The economic and environmental costs and benefits of the renewable fuel standard
Chen et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd7af
Spatial planning factors that influence CO2 emissions: A systematic literature review
Managing the mitigation: Analysis of the effectiveness of target-based policies on China's provincial carbon emission and transfer
Li et al 2021 Energy Policy
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112189
Introduction to the special feature on energy scenarios for long-term climate change mitigation in Japan
Sugiyama et al 2021 Sustainability Science
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s11625-021-00931-0
Climate change impacts on human health
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
Spatial planning for water sustainability projects under climate uncertainty: balancing human and environmental water needs
Fovargue et al 2021 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdd58
Systemic criticality—a new assessment concept improving the evidence basis for CI protection
Kruse et al 2021 Climatic Change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03019-x
Navigating the Anthropocene’s rivers of risk—climatic change and science-policy dilemmas in Australia’s Murray-Darling Basin
Alexandra 2021 Climatic Change
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03036-w
Guidelines for co-creating climate adaptation plans for fisheries and aquaculture
Pham et al 2021 Climatic Change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03041-z
Assessing urban heat-related adaptation strategies under multiple futures for a major U.S. city
Rohat et al 2021 Climatic Change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-02990-9
The Florida Water and Climate Alliance (FloridaWCA): Developing a Stakeholder–Scientist Partnership to Create Actionable Science in Climate Adaptation and Water Resource Management
Misra et al 2020 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0302.1
When adaptation increases energy demand: A systematic map of the literature
Viguie et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc044
Mapping the evolution and current trends in climate change adaptation science
Nalau & Verrall 2021 Climate Risk Management
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100290
Climate characteristics and the adaptation level to formulate mitigation strategies for a climate-resilient archaeological park
Binarti et al 2021 Urban Climate
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2021.100811
Climate change impacts on human culture
Responding to the climate emergency: how are UK universities establishing sustainable workplace routines for flying and food?
Hoolohan et al 2021 Climate Policy
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2021.1881426
Gender, ethnicity and vulnerability to climate change: The case of matrilineal and patrilineal societies in Bamenda Highlands Region, Cameroon
Azong & Kelso 2021 Global Environmental Change
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102241
Other
Understanding compound hazards from a weather system perspective
Catto & Dowdy 2021 Weather and Climate Extremes
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100313
Quantifying the Uncertainty of the Future Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change: Comparative Analysis of an Advanced Hierarchical Sensitivity in Humid and Semiarid Basins
Ju et al 2021 Journal of Hydrometeorology
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-20-0016.1
Rethinking extreme heat in a cool climate: a New Zealand case study
Harrington 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abbd61
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Core Concept: Integrated assessment climate policy models have proven useful, with caveats
Vaidyanathan 2021 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2101899118
At the frontier of climate change: Red alert from the European Alps, the Arctic and coral reefs
Wulff 2021 Ambio
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01514-0
Icy mountains in a warming world: Revisiting science from the end of the 1990s in the early 2020s
Haeberli & Beniston 2021 Ambio
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01513-1
The climate, land, energy, and water systems (CLEWs) framework: a retrospective of activities and advances to 2019
Ramos et al 2020 Environmental Research Letters
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd34f
We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light" but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance.
Most articles appearing here are found via RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance.
Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database.
The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:
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The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.
Posted by Doug Bostrom on Wednesday, 3 March, 2021
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