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Waste heat’s contribution to global warming is a small fraction of that brought about by carbon dioxide.
Waste heat comes from the thermal energy released by human energy use, such as when power plants burn coal or combustion engines burn gasoline.
Dividing the total amount of waste heat by Earth’s surface area, Flanner found about 0.03 Watts per square meter of total warming was from waste heat, about 1%. Carbon dioxide’s greenhouse gas effect added 2.9 Watts per square meter.
Zhang and Caldeira published in 2015 that 1.71% of warming was from the direct heat energy released by fossil fuel combustion, the main source of waste heat.
Carbon dioxide, which makes it more difficult for heat to escape the atmosphere, is the primary driver of climate change. While reducing waste heat is beneficial for efficiency, addressing global warming requires lowering greenhouse gas emissions.
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This fact brief is responsive to quotes such as the one highlighted here.
Sources
Geophysical Research Letters Time scales and ratios of climate forcing due to thermal versus carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels
Atmospheric Environment Global anthropogenic heat flux database with high spatial resolution
Geophysical Research Letters Integrating anthropogenic heat flux with global climate models
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research Anthropogenic Heat Flux
Scientific Data Global 1-km present and future hourly anthropogenic heat flux
About fact briefs published on Gigafact
Fact briefs are short, credibly sourced summaries that offer “yes/no” answers in response to claims found online. They rely on publicly available, often primary source data and documents. Fact briefs are created by contributors to Gigafact — a nonprofit project looking to expand participation in fact-checking and protect the democratic process. See all of our published fact briefs here.
Posted by Sue Bin Park on Saturday, 15 March, 2025
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