2019 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #41
Posted on 12 October 2019 by John Hartz
Editor's Pick
The world needs a massive carbon tax in just 10 years to limit climate change, IMF says
The international organization suggests a cost of $75 per ton by 2030.
An aerial view of large icebergs floating as the sun rises near Kulusuk, Greenland, on Aug. 16. (Felipe Dana/AP)
A global agreement to make fossil fuel burning more expensive is urgent and the most efficient way of fighting climate change, an International Monetary Fund study found on Thursday.
The group found that a global tax of $75 per ton by the year 2030 could limit the planet’s warming to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), or roughly double what it is now. That would greatly increase the price of fossil-fuel-based energy — especially from the burning of coal — but the economic disruption could be offset by routing the money raised straight back to citizens.
“If you compare the average level of the carbon tax today, which is $2 [a ton], to where we need to be, it’s a quantum leap,” said Paolo Mauro, deputy director of the fiscal affairs department at the IMF.
The world needs a massive carbon tax in just 10 years to limit climate change, IMF says by Chris Mooney & Andrew Freedman, Climate & Environment, Washington Post, Oct 10, 2019
Articles Linked to on Facebook
Sun Oct 6, 2019
- Air France Increases Carbon Emissions Offsets to 100% by Alyssa Danigelis, Environment + Energy Leader, Oct 3, 2019
- In an era of climate change, a phrase in the Jewish High Holidays liturgy takes on new meaning by Michael Leifman, Religion, Washington Post, Oct 4, 2019
- For the children's sake, do something about climate change by Greg Weeks, Faith Perspectives, St Louis Dispatch, Oct 5, 2019
- ‘Utter hypocrisy’: Government refuses to stop spending billions on fossil fuel projects across world by Chis Baynes, Environment, The Independent (UK), Oct 3, 2019
- Next EU energy chief backs gas as part of climate transition by Chloé Farand, Climate Home News, Oct 4, 2019
- As Amazon Fires Burn, Pope Convenes Meeting on the Rainforests and Moral Obligation to Protect Them by Georgina Gustin, Inside Climate News, Oct 6, 2019
- How Scientists Finally Got Americans to Worry About the Climate, Opinion by Faye Flam, Technology & Ideas, Bloomberg News, Oct 1, 2019
- No Mention of Climate Change in the U.S. National Drought Resilience Partnership by Marc Kodack, The Center for Climate & Security, Oct 2, 2019
Mon Oct 7, 2019
- Water resources minister 'totally' accepts drought linked to climate change by Katharine Murphy, Environment, Guardian, Oct 5, 2019
- U.N. agency weighs options for long-term plane emissions goal, faces China pushback by Allison Lampert, Reuters, Oct 4, 2019
- Christian climate protestors to turn Lambeth Bridge into 'Faith Bridge', Ekklesia, Oct 5, 2019
- River Flows All Across the Globe Are Dropping by Eric Roston, Climate Changed, Bloomberg News, Oct 2, 2019
- Super Typhoon Hagibis may become strongest storm on Earth, The Weather Network, Oct 7, 2019
- If warming exceeds 2°C, Antarctica’s melting ice sheets could raise seas 20 metres in coming centuries by Georgia Rose Grant & Timothy Naish, The Conversation US, Oct 2, 2019
- In the Mountains, Climate Change Is Disrupting Everything, from How Water Flows to When Plants Flower by Bob Berwyn, InsideClimate News, Oct 7, 2019
- The Northeast US has a carbon-trading system. It is boosting, not hurting, state economies. by David Roberts, Energy & Environment, Vox, Oct 7, 2019
Tue Oct 8, 2019
- New England winters are on the decline due to climate change, study says by Maria Lovato, Metro, Boston Globe, Oct 7, 2019
- How extreme sea level events are going to increase in Australia by Nick Evershed, Environment, Guardian, Oct 8, 2019
- UK scientists join the Extinction Rebellion climate change protests by Lilian Anekwe, New Scientists, Oct 7, 2019
- Sustainability’s Moment of Truth by Nicholas Stern, PS OnPoint Magazine, Oct 4, 2019
- Climate change means geoengineering under pressure to keep our CO2 budgets under control by Malcolm Sutton, Science, ABC News (AU), Oct 7, 2019
- Global Climate Change Investment Heavily Tilted Towards Mitigation and Low on Adaptation by Stella Paul, International Press Service (IPS), Oct 8, 2019
- From the Rooftops, Big Box Stores Are Embracing Solar by Bruce Horovitz, Business, New York Times, Oct 7, 2019
Wed Oct 9, 2019
- Super Typhoon Hagibis puts on a rare display of power in western Pacific as it churns toward Japan by Andrew Freedman, Capital Weather Gang, Washington Post, Oct 8, 2019
- Corporations told to draw up climate rules or have them imposed by Phillip Inman, Business, Guardian, Oct 8, 2019
- Ghost Forests Are Visceral Examples of the Advance of Climate Change by Tik Root, Science, Time Magazine, Oct 7, 2019
- Black Communities Need Climate Change Help, Groups Tell Congress by Stephen Lee, Tiffany Stecker & Dean Scott, Bloomberg Environment, Oct 7, 2019
- Half a century of dither and denial – a climate crisis timeline by Jonathan Watts, Garry Blight & Pablo Gutiérrez, Environment, Guardian, Oct 9, 2019
- The big polluters’ masterstroke was to blame the climate crisis on you and me, Opinion by George Monbiot, Comment is Free, Guardian, Oct 9, 2019
- Revealed: the 20 firms behind a third of all carbon emissions by Matthew Taylor & Jonathan Watts, Environment, Guardian, Oct 9, 2019
Thu Oct 10, 2019
- Cocaine is driving deforestation, climate change, and migration by Justine Calma, US & World, The Verge, Oct 8, 2019
- Eight EU countries call on Timmermans to raise 2030 climate goal to 55% by Jonas Ekblom, Reuters, Oct 7, 2019
- Climate explained: why some people still think climate change isn’t real by David Hall, The Conversation NZ, Oct 8, 2019
- Greta Thunberg, favourite to win Nobel peace prize, honoured at Standing Rock by Oliver Milman, Environment, Guardian, Oct 9, 2019
- Storm in Pacific Ocean on Path Toward Japan by Karen Zraick, World, New York Times, Oct 10, 2019
- Nobel Prize in Chemistry Honors 3 Who Enabled a 'Fossil Fuel-Free World' — with an Exxon Twist by Neela Banerjee, InsideClimate News, Oct 10, 2019
- Climate crisis disasters that could get worse if we don't do anything by Michael B Sauter, 24/7 Wall Street/USA Today, Oct 19, 2019
- Top Commerce Department aides orchestrated NOAA’s Hurricane Dorian statement, House Science Committee chair says by Jason Samenow & Andrew Freedman, Capital Weather Gang, Washington Post, Oct 10, 2019&
Fri Oct 11, 2019
- Climate change threatens hundreds of North American bird species with extinction, study says by Bill Weir, Weather, CNN News, Oct 10, 2019
- Climate protesters at London airport say they are 'mainstream' and 'scared' by Laurie Goering, Thomson Reuters Foundation, Oct 19, 2019
- It’s only October, so what’s with all these bushfires? New research explains it by Chris Lucas & Sarah Harris, The Conversation AU, Oct 9, 2019
- This climate problem is bigger than cars and much harder to solve by David Roberts, Energy & Environment, Vox, Oct 10, 2019
- The world needs a massive carbon tax in just 10 years to limit climate change, IMF says by Chris Mooney & Andrew Freedman, Climate & Environment, Washington Post, Oct 10, 2019
- Revealed: Google made large contributions to climate change deniers by Stephanie Kirchgaessner, Environment, Guardian, Oct 10, 2019
- ‘I’m up late at night worrying about global warming – please can you put my mind at rest?’ by Caroline Hickman, The Conversation UK, Oct 11, 2019
Sat Oct 12, 2019
- The climate crisis and the failure of economics by Jared Bernstein, Vox, Oct 11, 2019
- Brief overview of new IPCC report on oceans and ice risks by Dana Nuccitelli, Yale Climate Connections, Oct 11, 2019
- Climate change: Big lifestyle changes are the only answer by Justin Rowlatt, Science & Environment, BBC News, Oct 11, 2019
- Typhoon Hagibis: Biggest Japan storm in decades makes landfall, BBC News, Oct 12, 2019
- The Carbon Brief Profile: Canada by Josh Gabbatiss, Country Profiles, Carbon Brief, Oct 8, 2019
- It’s Lights Out in California to Deal With Climate Risks by Daniel Cusick, Thomas Frank & Anne C. Mulkern, E&E News/Scientific American, Oct 10, 2019
- Billions face food, water shortages over next 30 years as nature fails by Stephen Leahy, Science, National Geographic, Oct 10, 2019
- Fire, Floods and Power Outages: Our Climate Future Has Arrived, Opinion by Justin Gillis, Sunday Review, New York Times, Oct 12, 2019
Looks to me like a carbon tax/fee scheme would have to settle in at $200/ton to make a dent. That's only 50 cents/gallon at the pump. Of course, a 92% reduction in global population would solve the whole problem...which makes me bet it isn't going to get solved.
On another note, if it took about 120,000 years to produce the end Permian, and if estimates of 3 to 4 thousand ppm of "emissions" characterized a planet with a pale green sky and purple seas, whose to say that a much milder impact, say at the 2,000 year mark of that event hadn't already wiped out 97% of life forms? Or the 200 year mark? Seems to me that the outrageously rapid upswing in present GGEs could wipe out humans rather quickly...since humans are much more vulnerable to climate changes than are other lifeforms. We need houses, heat, air conditioning, three meals a day....we already had a very hard time surviving on a planet that, prior to the industrial revolution was, otherwise, a pretty hospitable place. But now? Tomorrow? In 2035 when CO2 equivalents reach, maybe 500ppm?
Doesn't it seem a little foolish to be talking about removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere when we are still subsidizing fossil fuel companies. We will continue to do so as long as the election of politicians depends on money from these same fossil fuel companies. Make this illegal and perhaps, just perhaps, the politicians could be pursuaded to stop these subsidies and we would pick up the pace of transition to renewables. Already wind and solar are more economic than fossil fuel.
In order to rapidly replace fossil fuels we should cosider using GHG energy to power our civilization.The same energy source that heats our planet can be used to replace our existing dirty energy sources.
Regarding this concept of the fragility of modern civilisation. This is just my take: Western countries with their technology and complex societies have become very adept at dealing with natural disasters, but it's within a predictable range of extremes and cycles. The problem is climate change is changing this at a significant pace. Our societies while efficient and adaptable to short term crises, don't respond so well to negative changes that are new and longer than a couple of years (eg the great depression of the 1930's that lasted ten years, and also the dust bowl problem of that period in America). A changing climate could cause some form of breakdown to our societies that is hard to get out of.
It would then depend how fast people could learn to adapt and become self sufficient, a difficult thing for urban dwellers living in apartment dwellings so dependent on other people for all their needs.
Poor, agricultural based societies are not good at dealing with natural disasters , but would likely survive better in an extreme climate change scenario because they know how to live a simple life. But their economic development will stop in its tracks and could well go backwards.
Carbon tax seems the way to go, but will be a hard sell in the USA because taxes are ideologically toxic in this country. Perhaps government infrastructure programmes would be politically more viable.
As william says, changing how money influences politics is part of the required corrections.
A more important action is limiting the ability of people to benefit from misleading marketing (and not just in politics). That would govern or limit the 'influence of money' in a helpful way regarding many issues.
The lack of correction of the direction of development through the past 30 years has made the problem worse. The required actions to achieve the 1.5 C impact limit are now major corrections of incorrectly developed perceptions of status, all because of harmful self interest not being responsibly governed and limited by caring.
Self Interest is one of many human thought and action drivers. Caring to not create negative impacts on others is another human thought and action driver.
And the ability to learn and develop new actions that will result in a better future appears to be uniquely human, and sets humanity apart from impulsive-animal-like competitive barbarism.
So, for humanity to have a sustainable improving future it appears that higher status needs to be limited to those humans who have higher degrees of Caring governing their self interest drivers. And the highest level leaders (the most influential, in business, political or story-telling), need to overwhelmingly care that their actions and the actions of those that they lead/influence do not negatively affect any others, especially the future generations.
The challenge for the future of humanity is to get every leader to strive to improve awareness and understanding and apply that learning to achieve and improve on the Sustainable Development Goals. Any higher status person who is not doing that should rapidly significantly lose perceptions of status.
Just one leader being able to maintain undeserved status can taint and corrupt a massive portion of the leaders, or at least seriously set back progress towards a sustainable improving future for humanity.
In a nut shell, the threats to the future of humanity are any region or business that is able to maintain Self Interested leadership that is opposed to the corrections required by Caring about the future of humanity. Their unethical competitive advantage over Others (and there is undeniably a competitive advantage for those who do not lead the required energy corrections), can enable those people to unethically over-power those who care.