New research, March 19-25, 2018
Posted on 30 March 2018 by Ari Jokimäki
A selection of new climate related research articles is shown below.
The figure is from paper #80.
Climate change mitigation
1. Unlikely pioneers: creative climate change policymaking in smaller U.S. cities
"I find that local leaders reframe climate change action as a way to save money and attract economic development. Personal environmental ethics drive small town leaders to reduce greenhouse gase emissions. Citizen committees can provide technical resources and political support. Otherwise, and more subtly, citizens can create a political environment that reduces resistance to climate change policymaking."
Emission reductions
2. Healthy, affordable and climate-friendly diets in India
"We show that more than two-thirds of Indians consume insufficient micronutrients, particularly iron and Vitamin A, and to a lesser extent zinc. A greater proportion of urban households than rural households are deficient at all income levels and for all nutrients, with few exceptions. Deficiencies reduce with increasing income. Using constrained optimization, we find that households could overcome these nutrient deficiencies within their food budgets by diversifying their diets, particularly towards coarse cereals, pulses, and leafy vegetables, and away from rice. These dietary changes could reduce India’s agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by up to 25%."
3. Life cycle assessment research and application in Indonesia
"The research and application of LCA in Indonesia are still in its infancy, as partly proved by a relatively small number of publications as compared to some other Southeast Asian countries. However, there was a notable increase in publication over the last 5 years, indicating a growing interest in LCA, mainly from academics and to less extent from private sectors."
5. Managing cropland and rangeland for climate mitigation: an expert elicitation on soil carbon in California (open access)
6. Greenhouse gas emissions and energy use associated with production of individual self-selected US diets (open access)
7. Analyzing the greenhouse gas impact potential of smallholder development actions across a global food security program (open access)
8. Economic and environmental performance of dryland wheat-based farming systems in a 1.5 °C world
9. Subsidence and carbon dioxide emissions in a smallholder peatland mosaic in Sumatra, Indonesia (open access)
10. Forest loss and Borneo's climate
"We conclude that loss of forest in Borneo has increased local daily temperatures and temperature extremes, and reduced daily precipitation."
Energy production
11. Why is China’s wind power generation not living up to its potential? (open access)
14. Sale of profitable but unaffordable PV plants in Spain: Analysis of a real case
15. How renewable production depresses electricity prices: Evidence from the German market
16. Solar energy's potential to mitigate political risks: The case of an optimised Africa-wide network (open access)
18. Russian industry responses to climate change: the case of the metals and mining sector
"The Russian government has no plans to phase out coal and is instead actively seeking to expand the coal industry. This highlights the obstacles to Russia’s commitment to climate policy at both the domestic and international levels."
Climate change communication
22. Emotions predict policy support: Why it matters how people feel about climate change
"In two studies, we find that climate scientists (N?=?44) experience greater emotional intensity about climate change than do students (N?=?94) and the general population (N?=?205), and that patterns of emotional responses explain differences in support for climate change policy. Scientists tied their emotional responses to concern about consequences of climate change to future generations and the planet, as well as personal identities associated with responsibility to act. Our findings suggest that “objects of care” that link people to climate change may be crucial to understanding why some people feel more strongly about the issue than others, and how emotions can prompt action."
23. What makes for compelling science? Evidential diversity in the evaluation of scientific arguments
"In both studies, diverse evidence on the geographical and socio-cultural dimension increased perceived support for scientific claims, but the relative impact of these dimensions differed between domains; geographical diversity had a larger effect on claims about climate change; socio-cultural diversity had a larger effect on claims about health. On the temporal dimension, recent non-diverse evidence (i.e. from the same recent period) increased perceived support for scientific claims more than diverse evidence."
25. Multi-hazard weather risk perception and preparedness in eight countries
26. Tipping Points and Climate Change: Metaphor Between Science and the Media (open access)
"Cluster membership predicted different outcomes: the “Highly Concerned” were most supportive of government climate policies, but least likely to report individual-level actions, whereas the “Skeptical” opposed policy solutions but were most likely to report engaging in individual-level pro-environmental behaviors."
29. Attributes of weathercasters who engage in climate change education outreach
30. The influence of political leaders on climate change attitudes
"Our experiments reveal that survey respondents take different positions on climate change policy when they learn what positions leaders hold. When respondents learn that leaders take divergent positions on addressing climate change, they become more polarized along party lines. But when leaders converge on a policy proposal, they also bring those who follow them into closer agreement, providing evidence that partisan polarization at the mass level can be overcome when leaders come together on environmental policies."
Climate change
Temperature, precipitation, and wind
31. Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall and Winds near the South Coast of China
33. Variability of thermal and precipitation conditions in the growing season in Poland in the years 1966–2015 (open access)
34. How well can we correct systematic errors in historical XBT data?
Extreme events
35. Impact of aerosols on tropical cyclone-induced precipitation over the mainland of China
"While aid agencies actively responded during and after Pam, local people too responded to the event with strategies based on livelihoods diversification, food security techniques, traditional knowledge and cooperation intra- and inter-communities. The study emphasizes the need for an integrative approach where disaster responses from the top-down integrate that from the bottom-up."
38. Increased wind risk from sting-jet windstorms with climate change (open access)
39. Tornado seasonality in the southeastern United States
40. The 2010 Pakistan floods in a future climate
"In the model context, these precipitation increases are substantial with 50–100% increases in rainfall rates. This implies that the future equivalent of the 2010 Pakistan floodings may have even stronger socio-economic impacts."
41. Thunderstorm climatology in the Mediterranean using cloud-to-ground lightning observations
42. Increase in extreme precipitation events under anthropogenic warming in India (open access)
Forcings and feedbacks
43. The influence of non-CO 2 forcings on cumulative carbon emissions budgets
44. Homogenization and trend analysis of the 1958-2016 in-situ surface solar radiation records in China
"The homogenized data show that the national average SSR has been declining significantly over the period 1958-1990; this dimming trend mostly diminished over the period 1991-2005 and was replaced by a brightening trend in the recent decade."
45. Aerosol optical depth in the European Brewer Network (open access)
46. Primary and secondary organic aerosols in summer 2016 in Beijing (open access)
47. Religious burning as a potential major source of atmospheric fine aerosols in summertime Lhasa on the Tibetan Plateau (open access)
48. Marine aerosol distribution and variability over the pristine Southern Indian Ocean
49. The observed relationship of cloud to surface longwave radiation and air temperature at Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard (open access)
50. Tibetan Plateau impacts global dust transport in the upper troposphere
Cryosphere
51. Changes in Andes snow cover from MODIS data, 2000–2016 (open access)
53. The snow load in Europe and the climate change (open access)
54. Characteristics of Eurasian snowmelt and its impacts on the land surface and surface climate
55. Meltwater storage in low-density near-surface bare ice in the Greenland ice sheet ablation zone (open access)
"We present measurements of ice density that show the melting bare-ice surface of the Greenland ice sheet study site is porous and saturated with meltwater. The data suggest up to 18 cm of meltwater is temporarily stored within porous, low-density ice. The findings imply meltwater drainage off the ice sheet surface is delayed and that the surface mass balance of the ice sheet during summer cannot be estimated solely from ice surface elevation change measurements."
56. Modelling seasonal meltwater forcing of the velocity of land-terminating margins of the Greenland Ice Sheet (open access)
Carbon cycle
58. Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake: an improved multiyear estimate of the air–sea CO2 flux incorporating chlorophyll a concentrations (open access)
"The uncertainty in the CO2 flux estimate was reduced, and a net annual Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake of 180 ± 130 Tg C y−1 was determined to be significant."
59. Uncertainty in the global oceanic CO2 uptake induced by wind forcing: quantification and spatial analysis (open access)
Climate change impacts
Mankind
60. The unprecedented 2014 Legionnaires’ disease outbreak in Portugal: atmospheric driving mechanisms
61. Climate Change Could Increase the Geographic Extent of Hendra Virus Spillover Risk (open access)
"In response to climate change, risk expanded southwards due to an expansion of P. alecto suitable habitat, which increased the number of horses at risk by 175–260% (110,000–165,000). In the northern limits of the current distribution, spillover risk was highly uncertain because of model extrapolation to novel climatic conditions. The extent of areas at risk of spillover from P. conspicillatus was predicted shrink. Due to a likely expansion of P. alecto into these areas, it could replace P. conspicillatus as the main HeV reservoir."
62. Temporal trends in human vulnerability to excessive heat (open access)
63. Scenarios for adaptation and mitigation in urban Africa under 1.5 °C global warming
66. Harvested area gaps in China between 1981 and 2010: effects of climatic and land management factors (open access)
68. Humid heat stress affects trained female athletes more than does their menstrual phase
69. Can we use crop modelling for identifying climate change adaptation options?
Biosphere
70. Carbon–climate feedbacks accelerate ocean acidification (open access)
"We show climate–carbon feedbacks accelerate and enhance ocean acidification. Such an acceleration of ocean acidification may further undermine the ability of marine biota to adapt to the changing environment."
75. Leaf phenology paradox: Why warming matters most where it is already warm
"We found spring green-up is faster in the mountains, while coastal forests express a larger sensitivity to inter-annual temperature anomalies. Despite our detection of a decreasing trend in sensitivity to warming with temperature in all regions, we identified an ecosystem interaction: Deciduous dominated forests are less sensitive to warming than are those with fewer deciduous trees, likely due to the continuous presence of leaves in evergreen species throughout the season. Mountainous forest green-up is more susceptible to intensifying drought and moisture deficit, while coastal areas are relatively resilient. We found that with increasing canopy thermal stress, defined as canopy-air temperature difference, leaf development slows following dry years, and accelerates following wet years."
77. Higher absorbed solar radiation partly offset the negative effects of water stress on the photosynthesis of Amazon forests during the 2015 drought (open access)
78. Unravelling the adaptation strategies employed by Glaciozyma antarctica PI12 on Antarctic sea ice
Other papers
General climate science
79. A Paper on the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation Published in 1963 in a Chinese Journal (open access)
80. NASA's Black Marble nighttime lights product suite (open access)
Palaeoclimatology
81. A chironomid-based record of temperature variability during the past 4000 years in northern China and its possible societal implications (open access)
Environmental issues
85. Observational analyses of dramatic developments of a severe air pollution event in the Beijing area (open access)
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