Arguments
New research, April 30 - May 6, 2018
Posted on 11 May 2018 by Ari Jokimäki
A selection of new climate related research articles is shown below.
Climate change mitigation
Climate change communication
Bringing the Heat Home: Television Spots about Local Impacts Reduce Global Warming Denialism
"Respondents exposed to the campaign were more likely to believe that global warming is happening, to accept the scientific consensus, to be more concerned about impacts and more supportive of policy solutions."
Teaching environmental policy in an era of polarization and misrepresentation
Climate Change and Energy Technologies in Undergraduate Introductory Science Textbooks
Climate-related Community Knowledge Networks as a Tool to Increase Learning in the Context of Environmental Change (open access)
"Respondents’ perceptions are sensitive to observed differences in both temperature and precipitation, but respondents are more likely to accurately perceive local precipitation than local temperature. Controlling for observed conditions, beliefs about global climate change had a large effect on perceptions of seasonal temperature, and smaller effects on perceptions of seasonal precipitation."
Emission savings
An integrated analysis of households' electricity consumption in Israel
Revisiting the contribution of land transport and shipping emissions to tropospheric ozone (open access)
The potential and economics of EV smart charging: A case study in Shanghai
Carbon and material footprints of a welfare state: Why and how governments should enhance green investments (open access)
CO2 emission from container glass in China, and emission reduction strategy analysis
A review of land-based greenhouse gas flux estimates in Indonesia (open access)
Energy production
Global carbon budgets and the viability of new fossil fuel projects
"In our case study of Canada’s oil sands, we find a less than 5% probability that oil sands investments, and therefore new oil pipelines, would be economically viable over the next three decades under the 2 °C carbon budget."
Adoption of solar and wind energy: The roles of carbon pricing and aggregate policy support
Wind energy exploration over the Atacama Desert: a numerical model-guided observational program (open access)
Mitigating the impact of personal vehicle electrification: A power generation perspective
The early retirement challenge for fossil fuel power plants in deep decarbonisation scenarios
"Regional analysis exposed disproportionate impacts in China and India, shouldering the vast majority of the costs and amplifying concerns over energy access and affordability. Policies such as burden-sharing for equitable mitigation, investment into CCS technology, and international financial compensation are discussed as potential avenues for mitigating this impact."
Committed emissions from existing and planned power plants and asset stranding required to meet the Paris Agreement (open access)
A weather regime characterisation of Irish wind generation and electricity demand in winters 2009–11 (open access)
Climate Policy
Border Adjustments Supplementing Nationally Determined Carbon Pricing
Is the 1.5°C target possible? Exploring the three spheres of transformation (open access)
Renewable energy subsidies versus carbon capture and sequestration support
Integrating carbon dioxide removal into EU climate policy: Prospects for a paradigm shift
Governing China’s Coal Challenge: Changing Public Policy, Debate and Advocacy
Effective incentives for reforestation: lessons from Australia's carbon farming policies
Geoengineering
Climate response to aerosol geoengineering: a multi-method comparison
Thermal removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere: energy requirements and scaling issues
Climate change
Temperature, precipitation, wind
Observed changes in precipitation in China-Pakistan economic corridor during 1980–2016
Agriculturally Relevant Climate Extremes and Their Trends in the World's Major Growing Regions (open access)
Potential impacts of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming on rainfall onset, cessation and length of rainy season in West Africa (open access)
Extreme events
Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey's extreme rainfall in Texas (open access)
Statistical analyses of extreme rainfall events in Thessaloniki, Greece
Global predictability of temperature extremes (open access)
Influence of blocking on Northern European and Western Russian heatwaves in large climate model ensembles (open access)
Forcings and feedbacks
"In line with previous results, we find that on average the surface air temperature variability decreases at higher latitudes, particularly over the ocean along the sea ice margins, while variability in precipitation increases on average, particularly at high latitudes. Variability in sea level pressure decreases on average in the Southern Hemisphere, while in the Northern Hemisphere there are regional differences."
A study of atmospheric mixing of trace gases by aerial sampling with a multi-rotor drone (open access)
Simple estimates of polar amplification in moist diffusive energy balance models
Key drivers of ozone change and its radiative forcing over the 21st century (open access)
Long-term monitoring of black carbon across Germany (open access)
The role of individual surface flux components in the passive and active ocean heat uptake
Cryosphere
A new digital elevation model of Antarctica derived from CryoSat-2 altimetry (open access)
How dynamic are ice-stream beds? (open access)
The coldest places in Hawaii: The ice-preserving microclimates of high-altitude craters and caves on tropical island volcanoes (open access)
Hydrosphere
Contribution of environmental forcings to US runoff changes for the period 1950–2010 (open access)
The competing impacts of climate change and nutrient reductions on dissolved oxygen in Chesapeake Bay (open access)
"We find that climate change will move the onset of hypoxia ~7 days earlier, while also decreasing oxygen in the bay primarily due to increased temperature. While this effect is smaller than the increase in oxygen due to nutrient reduction, it is enough to limit the regulation's future effectiveness."
Atmospheric and oceanic circulation
Carbon cycle
A global map of mangrove forest soil carbon at 30 m spatial resolution (open access)
"Projecting this model across the global mangrove forest distribution for the year 2000 yielded an estimate of 6.4 Pg C for the top meter of soil with an 86–729 Mg C ha−1 range across all pixels. By utilizing remotely-sensed mangrove forest cover change data, loss of soil carbon due to mangrove habitat loss between 2000 and 2015 was 30–122 Tg C with >75% of this loss attributable to Indonesia, Malaysia and Myanmar."
The importance of forest structure for carbon fluxes of the Amazon rainforest (open access)
Spatially Resolved Isotopic Source Signatures of Wetland Methane Emissions (open access)
Year-round simulated methane emissions from a permafrost ecosystem in Northeast Siberia (open access)
Large and active CO2 uptake by coupled carbonate weathering
ForC: a global database of forest carbon stocks and fluxes (open access)
Climate change impacts
Mankind
Dynamic response of airborne infections to climate change: predictions for varicella
Biosphere
A global climate niche for giant trees
Modeling the dynamic vegetation-climate system over China using a coupled regional model
Global assessment of the effect of climate change on ammonia emissions from seabirds
Spatial scale dependence of factors driving climate regulation services in the Americas
The duality of ocean acidification as a resource and a stressor (open access)
Interactive effects of climate change and biodiversity loss on ecosystem functioning
Vulnerability of Amazon forests to storm-driven tree mortality (open access)
Contrasting drivers and trends of coniferous and deciduous tree growth in interior Alaska
Adaptation strategies of yak to seasonally driven environmental temperatures in its natural habitat
Pacific Decadal and El Niño oscillations shape survival of a seabird
Other impacts
Other papers
Palaeoclimatology
Aerosol-Climate Interactions During the Last Glacial Maximum (open access)
Open-paleo-data implementation pilot – the PAGES 2k special issue (open access)
A couple of interesting things: Alien Waters: Neighboring Seas Are Flowing into a Warming Arctic Ocean - the “Atlantification” and “Pacification” of the Arctic has begun.
New research related to Hurricane Harvey: Record-breaking ocean heat fueled Hurricane Harvey
The research "Teaching environmental policy in an era of polarization and misrepresentation" appears well founded, and is astonishing to me because its politely saying the leadership in America is rotten to the core as far as the environment is concerned. It just seems astonishing because research is normally not quite so direct in its findings related to leadership of society. People need to be paying attention to this sort of research and what its saying.
Thank you SkS for putting together these studies in one place.