New research, September 3-9, 2018
Posted on 14 September 2018 by Ari Jokimäki
A selection of new climate related research articles is shown below.
Climate change mitigation
Climate change communication
A new, valid measure of climate change understanding: associations with risk perception
Climate Policy
Measuring success: improving assessments of aggregate GHG emissions reduction goals (open access)
Energy production
Has coal use peaked in China: Near-term trends in China's coal consumption
Estimating the value of offshore wind along the United States’ Eastern Coast (open access)
A new approach for assessing synergies of solar and wind power: implications for West Africa (open access)
Linking ecosystem services with epibenthic biodiversity change following installation of offshore wind farms (open access)
Renewable Energy Cooperatives as an instrument towards the energy transition in Spain
Emission savings
Further reflections on vulnerability and resistance in the United Kingdom's smart meter transition
Energy use and fossil CO2 emissions for the Canadian fruit and vegetable industries
Clashing interpretations of REDD+ “results” in the Amazon Fund (open access)
Climate change
Temperature, precipitation, wind
Effects of urbanization on increasing heat risks in South China
Human-perceived temperature changes over South China: Long-term trends and urbanization effects
Warming from recent marine heatwave lingers in deep British Columbia fjord
Changes in aridity and its driving factors in China during 1961–2016
Influence of the Pacific and Indian Ocean climate drivers on the rainfall in Vietnam
Changes in persistent and non-persistent extreme precipitation in China from 1961 to 2016 (open access)
Winter climate variability in the southern Appalachian Mountains, 1910–2017
Extreme events
A Recent Reversal in the Poleward Shift of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones
Re?Framing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States (open access)
Forcings and feedbacks
How reliable are CMIP5 models in simulating dust optical depth? (open access)
Can climate models reproduce the decadal change of dust aerosol in East Asia?
Mineral Weathering and the Permafrost Carbon?Climate Feedback
Factors affecting air temperature in Bulgaria
Cryosphere
Evidence for Predictive Skill of High?Latitude Climate Due to Midsummer Sea Ice Extent Anomalies
Investigating future changes in the volume budget of the Arctic sea ice in a coupled climate model (open access)
The role of extratropical ocean warming in the coupled climate response to Arctic sea ice loss
Toward a satellite?derived climatology of blowing snow over Antarctica
A constraint upon the basal water distribution and thermal state of the Greenland Ice Sheet from radar bed echoes (open access)
Mechanisms leading to the 2016 giant twin glacier collapses, Aru Range, Tibet (open access)
Hydrosphere
Indus River Basin: Future climate and water budget
Atmospheric and oceanic circulation
Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005–2016 (open access)
The Response of Subtropical Highs to Climate Change
Carbon and nitrogen cycles
Patterns of soil respiration and its temperature sensitivity in grassland ecosystems across China (open access)
Detecting drought impact on terrestrial biosphere carbon fluxes over contiguous US with satellite observations (open access)
Drivers of future seasonal cycle changes in oceanic pCO2 (open access)
Consumption of atmospheric methane by the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau alpine steppe ecosystem (open access)
Ecosystem?scale methane flux in tropical peat swamp forest in Indonesia (open access)
Climate change impacts
Mankind
The consequences of relocating in response to drought: human mobility and conflict in contemporary Kenya (open access)
Using Google search data to inform global climate change adaptation policy
Can Egypt become self-sufficient in wheat? (open access)
Farmers’ vulnerability to climate shocks: insights from the Niger basin of Benin
Upholding labour productivity under climate change: an assessment of adaptation options (open access)
Assessing the implications of a 1.5 °C temperature limit for the Jamaican agriculture sector
Biosphere
Slowdown of spring green-up advancements in boreal forests
Chronic historical drought legacy exacerbates tree mortality and crown dieback during acute heatwave-compounded drought (open access)
Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming
Species persistence under climate change: a geographical scale coexistence problem
Human footprint and climate disappearance in vulnerable ecoregions of protected areas
Other papers
General climate science
Palaeoclimatology
Placing our current ‘hyperthermal’ in the context of rapid climate change in our geological past (open access)
Promising Oldest Ice sites in East Antarctica based on thermodynamical modelling (open access)
Persistent tracers of historic ice flow in glacial stratigraphy near Kamb Ice Stream, West Antarctica (open access)
Humanity has never had a 100% energy transition. We still burn wood.
Europe gets 50% of its renewable enery burning wood, and do not count the emissions because the trees will grow back in 50 years.
If world energy demand got 2% more of its energy from wood, we would need 100% more timber harvested.
Stefan Rahmstorf says we must reduce emissions 100% in 20 years to avoid 2 C.
Claire Fiore says we must reduce emissions 50% in 10 years to avoid 1.5 C.
Vaclav Smil says a 100% energy transition takes 70 years, if at all.
James Hansen says 2 C = DISASTER, 1 C = Dangerous Climate Change.
We are already at +1 C.
Permafrost wetlands are turning from carbon banks into carbon bombs and threaten to double emissions. This is not modelled.
Rainforests and soils are turning from carbon banks into carbon bombs.
Greenland freshwater runoff has only just very recently included in models.
Fracking emits 4X more methane than reported and threatens to advance the 2 C tipping point.
Five tipping points are triggered between 1.5 - 2 C and threaten cascading collapse as do dominos.
In 10 years freshwater demand will exceed supply by 30%.
We lost 30% of our soil in the last 40 years.
By 2020, 66% of animals will be gone.
Humans and Livestock make 97% of land vertebrate biomass.
10,000 years ago H&L were 0.03% of land vertebrate biomass.
We will run out of food and water before we ever transition to 100% renewable energy.
This is because electricity production is only 20% of total world energy demand.
https://lokisrevengeblog.wordpress.com/2018/08/03/34355/