Arguments
Skeptical Science New Research for Week #4 2023
Posted on 26 January 2023 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack
Open access notables
Some of our more esoteric discussions with geophysics rejectionists (aka "climate science deniers") involve warming of the upper troposphere. Resolving the 21st century temperature trends of the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere with satellite observations by Ladstädter, Steiner & Gleisner via Nature Scientific Reports brings in new orbital instrumentation and makes some important progress in quantifying events in this region of our atmosphere. The paper concludes:
"Our results document a large warming of the tropical upper troposphere, and indications for structural changes in the global circulation patterns. These findings, supported by recent research, reveal an accelerated change of the global climate in the first decades of the 21st century."
Meanwhile, down on Earth where our feet are made of clay, a lot of explaining to do: Paradoxes of Norway’s energy transition: controversies and justice, Korsnes et al. in Climate Policy.
There's quite a bit of heat around carbon capture, and storage. Opinions fall on a spectrum ranging from "vital" through "moral hazard" and all the way to "pure greenwashing." Is carbon removal delaying emission reductions? by Carton et al. is billed as an advanced review and the authors deliver. Focusing on "moral hazard" but accounting for all colors of the matter at hand, the authors point out and demonstrate that worries over moral hazards of carbon removal can't be placed in a framework of solid evidence. The authors go on to identify specific means of better understanding of the problem, starting with an observation often seen in reviews: "we can't even agree on terminology and definitions."
Science and scientific publishing move at a stately pace, so it's not a surprise and even quite approrpriate to see this fulsome memorial published in 2023: A Tribute to Paul Crutzen (1933–2021): The Pioneering Atmospheric Chemist Who Provided New Insight into the Concept of Climate Change. Crutzen's Nobel laureate was to do with ozone but his footprints were all over our atmosphere, and climate science, as comprehensively narrated in this Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society remembrance.
In this week's government/NGO section, The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal via the University of Oxford starts with the premise "scaling up carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is an urgent priority, as are efforts to rapidly reduce emissions if the temperature goal of the Paris Agreement is to be met" and goes on to ask "how are we doing with that?" Not perfectly. Also in gov/NGO this week is an important concept delivered by the White House: our natural environment needs to be woven into economic reporting and economic policy. Obvious to many of us but not yet part of our economic formality, hence word on this from these quarters is a big deal. See National Strategy to Develop Statistics for Environmental-Economic Decisions
Wet-bulb temperatures are rising, with emerging potentially lethal instances already being recorded. Shouro Dasgupta and Elizabeth Robinson connect this with impacts on people working in the outdoors and other areas where workers are found but temperature control is not. The labour force in a changing climate: Research and policy needs published in PLOS Climate summarizes what we know now and proceeds to identify major systemic gaps in our understanding of a situation that if unhandled will undoubtedly cost lives and misery.
A paper by Konrad, Bernt & Hofmann and just published in The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment is oriented to a specific use case, vehicle rescue. But mobile recharging is going to find broader applications and so what seems a rather "niche" situation actually is not. Life cycle assessment of MHP (Mobile Hydrogen Powersupply), an off-grid system to charge battery electric vehicles, In our decarbonization section below which we offer as a weekly noncomprehensive ray of hope.
195 articles in 66 journals by 1,288 contributing authors
Physical science of climate change, effects
A Dynamics of Surface Temperature Forced by Solar Radiation
Jing & Wang, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101222
Combined oceanic and atmospheric forcing of the 2013/14 marine heatwave in the northeast Pacific
Chen et al., npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41612-023-00327-0
Revisiting causality using stochastics on atmospheric temperature and CO2 concentration
Åsbrink, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 10.1098/rspa.2022.0529
Observations of climate change, effects
Changes in Seasonal Large-Scale Extreme Precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast United States, 1979–2019
Henny et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0088.1
Colder eastern equatorial Pacific and stronger Walker circulation in the early 21st century: Separating the forced response to global warming from natural variability
Heede & Fedorov, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101020
Combined oceanic and atmospheric forcing of the 2013/14 marine heatwave in the northeast Pacific
Chen et al., npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41612-023-00327-0
Energetic overturning flows, dynamic interocean exchanges, and ocean warming observed in the South Atlantic
Chidichimo et al., Communications Earth & Environment, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-022-00644-x
Hydrological Drought Generation Processes and Severity Are Changing in the Alps
Brunner et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101776
Impact of changing Arctic sea ice extent, sea ice age, and snow depth on sea salt aerosol from blowing snow and the open ocean for 1980-2017
Confer et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037667
Monitoring sudden stratospheric warmings under climate change since 1980 based on reanalysis data verified by radio occultation
Li et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-1259-2023
Record-breaking rainfall accumulations in eastern China produced by Typhoon In-fa (2021)
Huang et al., Atmospheric Science Letters, Open Access 10.1002/asl.1153
Resolving the 21st century temperature trends of the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere with satellite observations
Ladstädter et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-023-28222-x
Spatiotemporal characteristics of dry-wet abrupt alternation events in China during 1960–2018
Zhao et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7850
The Changing Characteristics of Rainfall over the Brahmaputra Basin during 1998–2018
Gogoi et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 10.1002/qj.4427
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
Asia faces a growing threat from intraseasonal compound weather whiplash
FANG & LU, Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef003111
Causes of the Extreme Drought in Late Summer–Autumn 2019 in Eastern China and Its Future Risk
Chen et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0305.1
Climate-driven deterioration of future ozone pollution in Asia predicted by machine learning with multi-source data
Li et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-1131-2023
Downscaling and uncertainty analysis of future concurrent long-duration dry and hot events in China
Yang & Tang, Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-023-03481-9
Evaluation of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 model-simulated extreme precipitation over Indonesia
Kurniadi et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7744
Evaluation of the performance of a dynamic wave climate ensemble simulated using with EURO-CORDEX winds in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov
Çakmak et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7711
Fluvial flood losses in the contiguous United States under climate change
Rashid et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef003328
Global greenhouse gases emissions effect on extreme events under an uncertain future: A case study in Western Cape, South Africa
He & Ding, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000107
Greenhouse warming and internal variability increase extreme and central Pacific El Niño frequency since 1980
Gan et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-36053-7
Intermodel uncertainty in response of the Pacific Walker circulation to global warming
Han & Zheng Zheng, Climate Dynamics, Open Access 10.1007/s00382-023-06685-y
Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
van Westen et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3
Projected changes in the seasonal cycle of Madden-Julian oscillation precipitation and wind amplitude
Bui & Hsu, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101773
Sharpening of cold-season storms over the western United States
Chen et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01578-0
The impacts of climate change on regional temperature characteristics and climate zones
Li et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-023-04368-6
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Assessment of total and extreme precipitation over central Asia via statistical downscaling: added value and multi-model ensemble projection
Li-Jun et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.004
Changes in the ground surface temperature in permafrost regions along the Qinghai–Tibet engineering corridor from 1900 to 2014: A modified assessment of CMIP6
XING et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.007
Future Arctic climate change in CMIP6 strikingly intensified by NEMO-family climate models
Pan et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102077
Internal variability plays a dominant role in global climate projections of temperature and precipitation extremes
Blanusa et al., Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-023-06664-3
Limited Skill of Projected Land Precipitation by IPCC Models During 2002−2020
Hu et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037851
Sensitivity of Heavy Convective Precipitation Simulations to Changes in Land-atmosphere Exchange Processes over China
Zhang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037125
Toward high-resolution global atmospheric inverse modelling using graphics accelerators
Chevallier et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102135
What added value of CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model compared to CNRM-ALADIN regional climate model for urban climate studies ? Evaluation over Paris area (France)
Lemonsu et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access 10.1007/s00382-022-06647-w
Cryosphere & climate change
Evaluating the Retreat, Arrest, and Regrowth of Crane Glacier against Marine Ice Cliff Process Models
Needell & Holschuh, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102400
Observed and predicted trends in Icelandic snow conditions for the period 1930–2100
Eythorsson et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-590
Physical and biogeochemical properties of rotten East Antarctic summer sea ice
Corkill et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018875
Timescales of outlet-glacier flow with negligible basal friction: theory, observations and modeling
Feldmann & Levermann Levermann Levermann, The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-327-2023
Wintertime supraglacial lake drainage cascade triggers large-scale ice flow response in Greenland
Maier et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102251
Sea level & climate change
Antarctic contribution to future sea level from ice shelf basal melt as constrained by ice discharge observations
van der Linden et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-79-2023
Evaluating Knowledge Gaps in Sea-level Rise Assessments from the United States
Garner et al., Earth's Future, Open Access 10.1029/2022ef003187
Indian Ocean dynamic sea level, its variability and projections in CMIP6 models
Chatterjee & K Chatterjee, [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1192038/v1
Paleoclimate
Atmospheric River Variability Over the Last Millennium Driven by Annular Modes
Baek et al., AGU Advances, 10.1029/2022av000834
Holocene climate and oceanography of the coastal Western United States and California Current System
Palmer et al., Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-199-2023
Modeled storm surge changes in a warmer world: the Last Interglacial
Scussolini et al., Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-141-2023
North Atlantic surface ocean warming and salinization in response to middle Eocene greenhouse warming
van der Ploeg et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abq0110
The Impact of Different Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations on Large Scale Miocene Temperature Signatures
Hossain et al., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 10.1029/2022pa004438
Uncertainty in reconstructing paleo-elevation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from temperature-sensitive ice core records
Badgeley et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl100334
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
Adult spawners: a critical period for subarctic Chinook salmon in a changing climate
Howard & von Biela, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16610
Altered activities of extracellular soil enzymes by the interacting global environmental changes
Zuccarini et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16604
Arctic Ocean annual high in pCO2 could shift from winter to summer
Orr et al., Nature, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41586-022-05205-y
Atmospheric and Surface Processes, and Feedback Mechanisms Determining Arctic Amplification: A Review of First Results and Prospects of the (AC)3 Project
Wendisch et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-21-0218.1
Balancing disturbance risk and ecosystem service provisioning in Swiss mountain forests: an increasing challenge under climate change
Thrippleton et al., Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-02015-w
Consistent responses to moisture stress despite diverse growth forms within mountain fynbos communities
Skelton et al., Oecologia, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00442-023-05326-9
Directional fabrication and dissolution of larval and juvenile oyster shells under ocean acidification
Chandra Rajan et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 10.1098/rspb.2022.1216
Divergent effects of climate change on the egg-laying opportunity of species in cold and warm regions
Ma et al., Conservation Biology, 10.1111/cobi.14056
Dynamics of global dryland vegetation were more sensitive to soil moisture: Evidence from multiple vegetation indices
Liu et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109327
Elevated temperature and CO2 strongly affect the growth strategies of soil bacteria
Ruan et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-36086-y
Human fingerprint on structural density of forests globally
Li et al., Nature Sustainability, 10.1038/s41893-022-01020-5
Hyposensitive canopy conductance renders ecosystems vulnerable to meteorological droughts
Xu et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16607
Impacts of future climate change and atmospheric CO2 concentration on ecosystem water retention service
Yin et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002138
Marine heatwaves and upwelling shape stress responses in a keystone predator
Rühmkorff et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2022.2262
Mitigating the effects of climate change on the nests of sea turtles with artificial irrigation
Gatto et al., Conservation Biology, 10.1111/cobi.14044
Non-equilibrium early-warning signals for critical transitions in ecological systems
Xu et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2218663120
Plant community predictions support the potential for big sagebrush range expansion adjacent to the leading edge
Martyn et al., Regional Environmental Change, 10.1007/s10113-022-01999-9
Population-specific vulnerability to ocean change in a multistressor environment
Donham et al., Science Advances, Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.ade2365
Socioeconomic factors predict population changes of large carnivores better than climate change or habitat loss
Matovi?, Good Health and Well, Open Access 10.1007/978-3-319-71063-1_57-1
Spatiotemporal variation in vegetation phenology and its response to climate change in marshes of Sanjiang Plain, China
Liu et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9755
Susceptibility of vegetation low-growth to climate extremes on Tibetan Plateau
Zhang et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109323
The climatic drivers of long-term population changes in rainforest montane birds
de la Fuente et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16608
The ecological consequences of the timing of extreme climate events
Cinto Mejía & Wetzel, Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9661
The Importance of Subsurface Productivity in the Pacific Arctic Gateway as Revealed by High-resolution Biogeochemical Surveys
Juranek et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Open Access 10.1029/2022jc019292
Widespread spring phenology effects on drought recovery of Northern Hemisphere ecosystems
Li et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01584-2
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
Aerosols, Clusters, Greenhouse Gases, Trace Gases and Boundary-Layer Dynamics: on Feedbacks and Interactions
Kulmala et al., Boundary, 10.1007/s10546-022-00769-8
Arctic tropospheric ozone: assessment of current knowledge and model performance
Whaley et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-319
Assessing urban heat island intensity and emissions with compressed natural gas in non-commercial vehicles
Rizvi et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101421
Basin-scale CO2 emissions from the East River in South China: Importance of small rivers, human impacts and monsoons
Liu et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg007291
CO2 flux inversion with a regional joint data assimilation system based on CMAQ, EnKS, and surface observations
Peng et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037154
Dynamics of greenhouse gases (CH4 and CO2) in meromictic Lake Burgsee, Germany
Fuchs et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Open Access 10.1029/2021jg006661
Early Wintertime CO2 Uptake in the Western Arctic Ocean
Murata et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2021jc018037
Effect of Plankton Composition Shifts in the North Atlantic on Atmospheric pCO2
Boot et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511776.1
Effects of hypoxia on coupled carbon and iron cycling differ between weekly and multiannual timescales in two freshwater reservoirs
Lewis et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511936.1
Electron Accepting Capacities of a Wide Variety of Peat Materials from Around the Globe Similarly Explain CO2 and CH4 Formation
Guth et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2022gb007459
Enhanced transport of dissolved methane from the Chukchi Sea to the central Arctic
Ye et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2022gb007368
Factors controlling the sea surface partial pressure of carbon dioxide in upwelling regions: A case study of the southern East China Sea before and after Typhoon Maria
Kao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc019195
Global climate change increases terrestrial soil CH4 emissions
Guo et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2021gb007255
Global net biome CO2 exchange predicted comparably well using parameter–environment relationships and plant functional types
Famiglietti et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16574
Global Self-similar Scaling of Terrestrial Carbon with Aridity
Yin & Porporato, Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl101040
Magnitude and Origin of CO2 evasion from high-latitude lakes
Verheijen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021jg006768
Main Manuscript for The climate control of soil organic carbon dynamics inferred from speleothem radiocarbon ages
Xue et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101875
Nutrient release and flux dynamics of CO2, CH4, and N2O in a coastal peatland driven by actively induced rewetting with brackish water from the Baltic Sea
Pönisch et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-20-295-2023
Patterns and controlling factors of soil carbon sequestration in nitrogen-limited and -rich forests in China—a meta-analysis
Ngaba et al., PeerJ, Open Access 10.7717/peerj.14694
Presence of Access Roads Results in Reduced Growing Season Carbon Uptake in Adjacent Boreal Peatlands
Saraswati et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg007206
Reconciling the bottom-up and top-down estimates of the methane chemical sink using multiple observations
Zhao et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-556
Riverine impact on future projections of marine primary production and carbon uptake
Gao et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-2021-293
Spatial and temporal variability of methane emissions and environmental conditions in a hyper-eutrophic fishpond
Matouš? et al., SSRN Electronic Journal, Open Access 10.2139/ssrn.4133429
Strong nonlinearity of land climate-carbon cycle feedback under a high CO2 growth scenario
Zhang et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002499
Trends and variability in the ocean carbon sink
Gruber et al., Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 10.1038/s43017-022-00381-x
Widespread Frequent Methane Emissions from the Oil and Gas Industry in the Permian Basin
Veefkind et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037479
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
Can fossil energy make a soft landing?— the carbon-neutral pathway in China accompanying CCS
Hu & Wu Wu Wu, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113440
CO2–Brine–Rock interaction and sequestration capacity in carbonate reservoirs of the Tahe Oilfield, Xinjiang, China
Tan et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2178
Environmental microbiome engineering for the mitigation of climate change
Silverstein et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16609
A novel method for forecasting renewable energy consumption structure based on compositional data: evidence from China, the USA, and Canada
Xu et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02935-5
An updated review on integration of solar photovoltaic modules and heat pumps towards decarbonization of buildings
Alhuyi Nazari et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.018
Climate impact comparison of electric and gas-powered end-user appliances
Dietrich et al., Earth's Future, Open Access 10.1029/2022ef002877
Directional hydrophone clusters reveal evasive responses of small cetaceans to disturbance during construction at offshore windfarms
Graham et al., Biology Letters, 10.1098/rsbl.2022.0101
E-waste recycled materials as efficient catalysts for renewable energy technologies and better environmental sustainability
Seif et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-023-02925-7
In Situ Encapsulation of Phase-Change Thermal-Storage Material using 3D Polymer-Aided Cross-Linked Porous Carbon
Xiao et al., Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research, Open Access 10.1002/aesr.202200164
Life cycle assessment of MHP (Mobile Hydrogen Powersupply), an off-grid system to charge battery electric vehicles
Konrad et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11367-022-02122-0
Local and global experience curves for lumpy and granular energy technologies
Choi & Kim Kim, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113426
On injustices raised by the implementation of low-carbon technologies
Brandstedt, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000128
Solutions to achieve carbon-neutral mixtures for the U.S. pavement network
AzariJafari et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 10.1007/s11367-022-02121-1
Synergistic Defect Passivation by the Treatment of Ionic Liquids for Efficient and Stable Perovskite Solar Cells
Zhang et al., Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research, Open Access 10.1002/aesr.202200173
Techno-economic analysis of PV systems installed by using innovative strategies for smart sustainable agriculture farms
Aziz et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-023-02919-5
Geoengineering climate
Climate response to off-equatorial stratospheric sulfur injections in three Earth system models – Part 2: Stratospheric and free-tropospheric response
Bednarz et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-372
Impact of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on the East Asian Winter Monsoon
Liu et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102109
The Radiative and Cloud Responses to Sea Salt Aerosol Engineering in GFDL Models
Mahfouz et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102340
Black carbon
Evaluating BC aging processes in the Community Atmosphere Model Version 6 (CAM6)
Shen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037427
Aerosols
Aerosol–precipitation elevation dependence over the central Himalayas using cloud-resolving WRF-Chem numerical modeling
Adhikari & Mejia Mejia Mejia, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-1019-2023
Can biomass burning aerosol induced surface cooling be amplified through sea surface temperature-cloud feedback over the Southeast Atlantic?
Lu & Liu, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101377
Distinct regional meteorological influences on low-cloud albedo susceptibility over global marine stratocumulus regions
Zhang & Feingold Feingold Feingold Feingold Feingold, [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511682.1
Importance of Atmospheric Transport on Methanesulfonic Acid (MSA) Concentrations in the Arctic Ocean during Summer under Global Warming
Jiang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037271
Reconstructing volcanic radiative forcing since 1990, using a comprehensive emission inventory and spatially resolved sulfur injections from satellite data in a chemistry-climate model
Schallock et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-1169-2023
Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: The role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions
Monerie et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511809.1
Climate change communications & cognition
A scoping review of the green parenthood effect on environmental and climate engagement
Shrum et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.818
Artificial intelligence for environmental security: national, international, human and ecological perspectives
Francisco, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Open Access 10.1016/j.cosust.2022.101250
Ideology, scientific literacy, and climate change: the case of Spain
Arroyo-Barrigüete et al., Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-023-00814-z
Toward Reduction of Detrimental Effects of Hurricanes using a Social Media Data Analytic Approach: How Climate Change is perceived?
Karimiziarani et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100480
Translated Emission Pathways (TEPs): Long-Term Simulations of COVID-19 CO2 Emissions and Thermosteric Sea Level Rise Projections
Gonzalez & Lin, Earth's Future, Open Access 10.1029/2021ef002453
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Agricultural expansion and its impacts on climate change: evidence from Iran
Barati et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02926-6
Assessing temperature-based adaptation limits to climate change of temperate perennial fruit crops
Meza et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16601
Can un-leveed agricultural fields in deltas keep pace with sea-level rise?
Glover et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101733
Climate change and the Western Himalayan community: Exploring the local perspective through food choices
Das & Mishra, Ambio, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-022-01810-3
Climate variability and simultaneous breadbasket yield shocks as observed in long-term yield records
Anderson et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109321
Delineating and characterizing changes in heat wave events across the United States climate regions
Wanyama et al., Climatic Change, Open Access 10.1007/s10584-022-03476-y
Farmers’ social networks and regional spillover effects in agricultural climate change mitigation
Kreft et al., Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-023-03484-6
Population-specific vulnerability to ocean change in a multistressor environment
Donham et al., Science Advances, Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.ade2365
Uncertain future of sustainable fisheries environment in eastern boundary upwelling zones under climate change
Chang et al., Communications Earth & Environment, 10.1038/s43247-023-00681-0
Variability and trend analysis of temperatures, rainfall, and characteristics of crop-growing season in the eastern zone of Tigray region, northern Ethiopia
Berhe et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-023-04364-w
Warming and hypoxia threatens a valuable scallop fishery; a warning for commercial bivalve ventures in climate change hotspots
Scanes & Byrne, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16606
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
Can southern Australian rainfall decline be explained? A review of possible drivers
McKay et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.820
Changes in Seasonal Large-Scale Extreme Precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast United States, 1979–2019
Henny et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0088.1
Hydrological Drought Generation Processes and Severity Are Changing in the Alps
Brunner et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101776
Investigation of lake shrinkage attributed to climate change over the past 33 years in Inner Mongolia, China
Zhang et al., Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-023-03487-3
Midwinter dry spells amplify post-fire snowpack decline
Hatchett et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access 10.1029/2022gl101235
Nexus of dams, reservoirs, climate, and the environment: a systematic perspective
Zhang & Shang, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-023-04765-4
Variability and long-term change in Australian monsoon rainfall: A review
Heidemann et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.823
Widespread increasing ecosystem water limitation during the past three decades in the Yellow River Basin, China
Zhao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg007140
Climate change economics
Mapping regional vulnerability in Europe’s energy transition: development and application of an indicator to assess declining employment in four carbon-intensive industries
McDowall et al., Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03478-w
The labour force in a changing climate: Research and policy needs
Dasgupta & Robinson, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000131
Climate change mitigation public policy research
Agricultural manufacturers’ carbon abatement oriented to government subsidy and sales efforts
Wang & Wang, Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02886-3
Building sector emission reduction assessment from a developing European economy: A bottom-up modelling approach
Sar?ca et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113429
China's carbon accounting system in the context of carbon neutrality: Current situation, challenges and suggestions
Hong-Shuo et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.008
Exploring the participation willingness and potential carbon emission reduction of Chinese residential green electricity market
Lin & Qiao, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113452
In the post-subsidy era: How to encourage mere consumers to become prosumers when subsidy reduced?
Liu et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113451
Local and global experience curves for lumpy and granular energy technologies
Choi & Kim Kim, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113426
Mapping regional vulnerability in Europe’s energy transition: development and application of an indicator to assess declining employment in four carbon-intensive industries
McDowall et al., Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03478-w
National models of climate governance among major emitters
Guy et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01589-x
Paradoxes of Norway’s energy transition: controversies and justice
Korsnes et al., Climate Policy, Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2023.2169238
Persistence of shocks on non-renewable and renewable energy consumption: evidence from 15 leading countries with Fourier unit root test
Kiran Baygin & Çil, Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02944-4
Reinforcing nature-based solutions through tools providing social-ecological-technological integration
Wellmann et al., Ambio, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-022-01801-4
Spatial correlation network structure characteristics of carbon emission efficiency and its influencing factors at city level in China
Sun et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02936-4
Time-varying causality nexus of (non)renewable electricity utilization, real output, and carbon emission among selected African states
Espoir et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-023-02934-6
Understanding equity–efficiency interaction in the distribution of global carbon budgets
Pan et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.08.002
Unleashing the effect of energy efficiency, knowledge spillover, and globalization on environmental sustainability: an VECM analysis for policy empirics
Khurshid et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02949-z
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
Adaptation rationales and benefits: A foundation for understanding adaptation impact
Carr & Nalau, Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100479
Climate processes and drivers in the Pacific and global warming: a review for informing Pacific planning agencies
Chand et al., Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03467-z
Decision-making factor interactions influencing climate migration: A systems-based systematic review
Nabong et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.828
Diffusion and upscaling of municipal climate mitigation and adaptation strategies in Germany
Kern et al., Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-02020-z
Drivers of migration intentions in coastal Vietnam under increased flood risk from sea level rise
Duijndam et al., Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03479-9
Enhancing capacity building initiatives at sub-national level for supporting climate change adaptation
Mohan, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2163845
Framework for multirisk climate scenarios across system receptors with application to the Metropolitan City of Venice
Sambo et al., Risk Analysis, 10.1111/risa.14097
Gender and adaptive capacity in climate change scholarship of developing countries: a systematic review of literature
Dev & Manalo, Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2023.2166781
Identification of factors affecting public willingness to pay for heat mitigation and adaptation: Evidence from Guangzhou, China
Liu et al., Urban Climate, Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101405
Institutionalizing urban climate governance in the global South? Evidence from Tehran urban management, Iran
Pazhuhan (Panahandeh Khah), Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2161298
Potential tipping points for climate change adaptation costs
Midgley et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2151306
Power blackout: Citizens’ contribution to strengthen urban resilience
Knodt et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113433
What influences the adaptive capacity of coastal critical infrastructure providers?
Huddleston et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101416
Wildfire adaptation in the Russian Arctic: a systematic policy review
I.V et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100481
Climate change impacts on human health
Differences in interference processing and frontal brain function with climate trauma from California’s deadliest wildfire
Grennan et al., PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000125
Impact of extreme temperatures on the performance evaluation of China's work-related injury insurance system
Zhang et al., Risk Analysis, 10.1111/risa.14095
Inequality of global thermal comfort conditions changes in a warmer world
Zhang et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef003109
Climate change & geopolitics
Where to draw the line? Climate change-conflict-migration-terrorism causal relations and a contested politics of implication
Telford, Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.01.001
Other
Large-Scale Drivers of Persistent Extreme Weather During Early Summer 2021 in Europe
Tuel et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099624
Perception spillover from fracking onto public perceptions of novel energy technologies
Westlake et al., Nature Energy, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41560-022-01178-4
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
A history of the 1.5°C target
Cointe & Guillemot, WIREs Climate Change, 10.1002/wcc.824
A Tribute to Paul Crutzen (1933–2021): The Pioneering Atmospheric Chemist Who Provided New Insight into the Concept of Climate Change
Fishman et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-21-0311.1
An Integrated Research Plan for the Tibetan Plateau Land–Air Coupled System and Its Impacts on the Global Climate
Wu et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 10.1175/bams-d-21-0293.1
Climate reparations: Why the polluter pays principle is neither unfair nor unreasonable
Tan, WIREs Climate Change, 10.1002/wcc.827
Is carbon removal delaying emission reductions?
Carton et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.826
Sociologies of climate change are not enough. Putting the global biodiversity crisis on the sociological agenda
Lockie, Environmental Sociology, 10.1080/23251042.2023.2170310
The labour force in a changing climate: Research and policy needs
Dasgupta & Robinson, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000131
Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change
The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, Smith et al., University of Oxford
Scaling up carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is an urgent priority, as are efforts to rapidly reduce emissions if the temperature goal of the Paris Agreement is to be met. Scenarios for limiting warming to well below 2°C involve removing hundreds of billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere over the course of the century. Drawing together analysis across several key areas, the authors provide the first comprehensive global assessment of the current state of CDR. They found a gap between how much CDR countries are planning and what is needed in scenarios to meet the Paris temperature goal. The size of the “CDR gap” differs across scenarios, depending on how the global economy is transformed toward net-zero emissions. However, there are currently few plans by countries to scale CDR above current levels, exposing a substantial shortfall. CDR involves capturing CO2 from the atmosphere and storing it durably on land, in the ocean, in geological formations, or in products. Examples include reforestation, biochar, Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS), and Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS). For the first time, the authors compile an estimate of the total amount of CDR currently being deployed around the world.
Deny, Deceive, Delay Vol. 2: Exposing New Trends in Climate Mis- and Disinformation at COP27, Climate Action Against Disinformation
The authors seek to track, expose and counter anti-climate efforts since October 2022 to provide a roadmap for action in the year ahead. This work will drive CAAD’s ongoing work and advocacy goals, including engagement with big tech to craft a proportionate, systemic response to climate disinformation on platforms; public education and ‘pre-bunking efforts’ at the grassroots; and work with multilateral institutions like UNFCCC to formalize the response to disinformation as part of broader climate policy.
U.S. Offshore Wind Quarterly Market Report, Business Network for Offshore Wind
The last three months of 2022 (Q4) are notable for the first-ever federal offshore wind auction along the U.S. west coast and key port investments, yet the combination of supply chain bottlenecks, rising commodity prices, and the lack of coordinated transmission planning threatens to stall progress in 2023. The California lease auction marked the U.S.’s entry into the floating offshore wind market and an important opportunity to pioneer cutting-edge technology here at home. Domestic supply chain development was buttressed by significant growth in the American steel sector and major investments at U.S. ports in four key states — California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New York. The same inflationary conditions disrupting the European offshore wind industry finally reached U.S. shores, resulting in a spate of project delays. With a capable workforce, critical infrastructure components, and the potential to generate 9 GW of offshore wind that could power nearly 3 million homes, the Gulf region is primed for an offshore wind boom.
Climate-fueled Violence and Displacement in the Lake Chad Basin: Focus on Chad and Cameroon, Alexandra Lamarche, Refugees International
The dangerous link between climate change and conflict is clear in countries across the Lake Chad Basin, including Cameroon, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria. For more than a decade, attacks by Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) have destabilized the region. The Lake Chad Basin crisis is often viewed through the lens of regional security. However, insufficient attention is paid to how climate change has fueled insecurity and the forced displacement of civilian populations. Together, these factors have displaced 3 million people and left 11 million people in need of humanitarian assistance.
National Strategy to Develop Statistics for Environmental-Economic Decisions, The White House
With every passing year, scientists, innovators, and economists discover more evidence about how the economy relies on nature and how economic activities change nature’s ability to provide services. The fact that nature provides people with services now and opportunities in the future is why economists refer to nature as a form of capital. This natural capital supports economic prosperity in similar ways to the financial capital that is traded on Wall Street or the buildings and machines that make up the physical capital on Main Street. charts a course to measure natural capital in official U.S. economic statistics. The current absence of important economic metrics and the omission of nature from the national balance sheet lead to the erosion of current and future economic opportunities. The proposed expansion of the national economic accounting system seeks to provide new information to capture links between nature and the economy. The strategic plan uses existing authorities and builds on and integrates numerous existing natural capital measurement efforts across many federal agencies. The resulting multi-year effort will lead to more inclusive and forward-looking conversations about “the economy.” It will provide and organize the information needed to make informed decisions that enhance economic prosperity in the present while securing future nature- dependent economic opportunities.
Breakthrough Effect: How to trigger a cascade of tipping points to accelerate the net zero transition’, Meldrum et al., Systemiq
With time running out to limit global warming to 1.5°C, the authors show how parts of the global economy could move rapidly towards zero emissions, with far-reaching effects across 10 of the highest-emitting sectors: that’s the Breakthrough Effect. A leverage point is where a small intervention can cause a large effect. The “super-leverage points” identified in the report not only cut emissions in one key sector but also support faster changes in other parts of the economy. The three super-leverage points are mandates for the sale of electric vehicles, mandates requiring “green ammonia” to be used in the manufacturing of agricultural fertilizers, and public procurement of plant-based proteins. These changes could trigger a cascade of tipping points, leading to cheaper batteries to help solar and wind scale up in the electricity sector, cheaper hydrogen opening up decarbonization for the shipping and steel industries, and reduced pressure for deforestation.
Powering Toward 100 Percent Clean Power by 2035, Harper et al, Evergreen Collaborative
Decarbonizing the power sector is a major task requiring both federal legislative and executive action. Accordingly, the Biden Administration has promised a whole-of-government response that includes robust performance standards, significant investment, and a commitment to justice. The U.S. took an important step in clean energy investment in 2022 when Congress and President Biden enacted the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This historic climate legislation contains over $370 billion in investments toward building America’s clean energy economy. However, according to the authors, the U.S. must take further action to meet its clean energy goals this decade. The IRA’s investments are projected to increase carbon-free electricity in the U.S. from approximately 40 percent in 2022 to 66 percent clean power by 2030. This falls short of the 80 percent target that is consistent with the path to 100 percent clean electricity by 2035. The law is also estimated to help cut economy-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) pollution to 40 percent below 2005 levels by 2030—an important step, but short of America’s 50–52 percent commitment under the Paris Agreement.
One-Year Progress Summary Report: Preliminary Modeling Results and High-Resolution Solar and Wind Data Sets, Blair et al, National Renewal Energy Laboratory
The Puerto Rico Grid Resilience and Transitions to 100% Renewable Energy Study (PR100) report summarizes PR100 progress during its first year and provides considerations that can inform potential funding and implementation decisions by key federal and local agencies and stakeholders. The authors provide initial modeling and analysis results and describe high-resolution wind and solar resource data sets for Puerto Rico.
Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions
We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light" but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance.
- Here's an excellent collection of tips and techniques for obtaining articles, legally.
- Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
- The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway.
How is New Research assembled?
Most articles appearing here are found via RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance.
Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database.
The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:
- Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically.
- Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.
The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.
Suggestions
Please let us know if you're aware of an article you think may be of interest for Skeptical Science research news, or if we've missed something that may be important. Send your input to Skeptical Science via our contact form.
Journals covered
A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.
Previous edition
The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.
Comments