Arguments
Skeptical Science New Research for Week #20 2024
Posted on 16 May 2024 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack
Open access notables
Publicly expressed climate scepticism is greatest in regions with high CO2 emissions, Pearson et al., Climatic Change:
We analysed a recently released corpus of climate-related tweets to examine the macro-level factors associated with public declarations of climate change scepticism. Analyses of over 2 million geo-located tweets in the U.S. showed that climate scepticism – and the aggressiveness of climate-related tweets – was greater in states with higher per capita carbon emissions. This pattern remained significant after controlling for political conservatism, GDP per capita, education, and gender, and was replicated across 126 nations from around the world. The findings are consistent with a vested interest hypothesis—misinformation around climate change is most likely to be distributed in regions where there is high fossil fuel reliance, and where the economic stakes of acknowledging climate change are high.
Climate coalitions and anti-coalitions: Lobbying across state legislatures in the United States, Hall et al., Energy Research & Social Science:
We ask: Who are the main actors in state-level climate disputes, and what coalitions emerge as they take positions on specific areas of clean energy policy? Who wins in these contests? We built a novel dataset of interest groups' policy positions encompassing 224,530 lobbying and testimony records on 5449 pieces of legislation in 12 states. These data were supplemented with issue area categorizations for bills and organization type categorizations for interest groups. We find patterns relating the structure of support and opposition for climate policy to party control of the legislature, the amount of fossil fuel production, and the nature of utility regulation in each state. We then characterize the policy preferences of several major industries active in these arenas.
“An island on the edge of Europe”: A study on academic air travel in Finland through a combined model of practice, Ahonen & Rask, Environmental Science & Policy:
Our findings highlight that the core elements of academic air travel in the institution we studied are physical events, social interaction, technologies, and environmental values. Although virtual alternatives and slow travel are gaining momentum, more support is needed to replace the informal interactions associated with physical presence. In addition, the external pressure to travel, e.g., to undertake fieldwork or attend conferences, is limiting efforts toward low-carbon travel. We hypothesize that change is particularly difficult to induce with linkages between various levels of society.
The cascading effects of climate change on children: extreme floods, family mobility and child well-being in Amazonia, de Carvalho, Climate and Development;
This paper reflects on the less visible dimensions of children’s climate risk by examining a burgeoning trend of seasonal migration in Amazonia’s floodplains. Combining in-depth participant observation and draw-and-tell interviews with children, the paper focuses on identifying the different factors that shape children’s diverse experiences of flood impacts. The article examines how age and gender shape decisions around family mobility, and how different patterns of economic migration affect children left behind. The findings reveal that climate change is eroding vital social networks for children and exposing them to material and emotional hardship.
From this week's government/NGO section
Colorado's Double Agents, James Browning and Trevor Culhane, F Minus and the Climate Development Lab:
Despite the climate crisis and Colorado’s worsening air quality, a package of anti-smog bills in the state legislature is facing stiff opposition from fossil fuel lobbyists. The authors find that many of these lobbyists also represent local governments, health care organizations, and other clients who are being harmed by air pollution. Th authors explore the extent to which these lobbyists are “double agents” working for fossil fuel clients at the same time they are working for victims of the climate crisis–and in some cases, even lobbying for and against the same environmental bill at the same time on behalf of different clients.
What is Preventing Individual Climate Action? Impact Awareness and Perceived Difficulties in Changing Transport and Food Behaviour, Timmons et al., Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI):
Mitigating climate change requires large and, by historical standards, rapid changes to policy, business processes, and individual behaviour. The authors examine awareness of and perceived difficulty with individual behaviour change concerning two actions associated with high levels of emissions: transport and food choice. A nationally (Ireland) representative sample of 1,200 adults completed an online study about everyday transport and food behaviour, run in September 2023. After completing a diary task about the previous day, participants identified the parts of their day that mattered most for their carbon footprint. Answers were elicited via incentivized, open-text questions to prevent pre-set options from biasing responses. Participants also answered standard survey questions about their use of various modes of transport in a typical week and their consumption of various foods. Participants who reported wanting to change their transport behaviour and diet ‘to reduce their carbon footprint’ (47 percent and 42 percent, respectively) listed reasons why it is difficult for them to do so, again via open-text questions.
127 articles in 48 journals by 692 contributing authors
Physical science of climate change, effects
Arctic amplification-induced intensification of planetary wave modulational instability: A simplified theory of enhanced large-scale waviness, Luo et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 10.1002/qj.4740
CO2-Dependence of Longwave Clear-Sky Feedback Is Sensitive to Temperature, Xu & Koll, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl108259
Emerging Influence of Enhanced Greenland Melting on Boundary Currents and Deep Convection Regimes in the Labrador and Irminger Seas, Schiller?Weiss et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109022
The relationship between elevation-dependent warming and long-term trend of surface air temperature lapse rate, Qin et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107478
Observations of climate change, effects
Compound dry and hot events over major river basins of the world from 1921 to 2020, Zhao et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100679
Escalation of tropical cyclone impacts on the northwestern Bay of Bengal over the past decade, Wu et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-024-07252-9
Human-induced intensified seasonal cycle of sea surface temperature, Liu et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-48381-3
Past and future climate variability analysis in bhutan, Rinzin et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-04973-z
Precipitation Seasonality Amplifies as Earth Warms, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl109132
Record-breaking warm spell in December 2023 and the synergistic influences from the Siberian high and the polar front jet, Xiang et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107479
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
Amplification of the discrepancy between simplified and physics-based wet-bulb globe temperatures in a warmer climate, Qiu et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100677
Exploring the spatial and temporal changes of compound disasters: A case study in Gaoping River, Taiwan, Chen et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100617
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
A Unified procedure for the probabilistic assessment and forecasting temperature characteristics under global climate change, Awan et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-05020-7
Anthropogenic forcings reverse a simulated multi-century naturally-forced Northern Hemisphere Hadley cell intensification, Hess & Chemke, Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-48316-y
Effects of land use and land cover change under shared socioeconomic pathways on future climate in the Yellow River basin, China, Ru et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101867
Evaluation of soil temperature in CMIP6 multimodel simulations, Zhou et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110039
Fast and Slow Responses of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Antarctic Meltwater Forcing, Shin et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl108272
Linking Upwelling Dynamics and Subsurface Nutrients to Projected Productivity Changes in the California Current System, Jacox et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl108096
Location and Intensity Changes of the North Equatorial Countercurrent Tied to ITCZ Under Global Warming, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl108265
On the future evolution of heatwaves in French cities and associated rural areas: Insights from a convection-permitting model, Michau et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101920
Projections of temperature and precipitation trends using CMhyd under CMIP6 scenarios: A case study of Iraq's Middle and West, Mukheef et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107470
The perfect storm? Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa, Muheki et al., Earth System Dynamics Open Access 10.5194/esd-15-429-2024
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
A Novel Approach to a Multi-Model Ensemble for Climate Change Models: Perspectives on the Representation of Natural Variability and Historical and Future Climate, Kim et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100688
A radiative–convective model computing precipitation with the maximum entropy production hypothesis, Pikeroen et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access pdf 10.5194/gmd-17-3801-2024
Causes of Past African Temperature Change in PMIP Simulations of the Mid-Holocene, Marshall et al., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology 10.1029/2023pa004706
Evaluation of global fire simulations in CMIP6 Earth system models, Li et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14202
Improvement of the simulated southern hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex across series of CMIPs, Feng et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-024-07250-x
Systematic and objective evaluation of Earth system models: PCMDI Metrics Package (PMP) version 3, Lee et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-3919-2024
The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble, Molina et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-024-07257-4
Cryosphere & climate change
A Multifaceted Look at Garhwal Himalayan Glaciers: Quantifying Area Change, Retreat, and Mass Balance, and Its Controlling Parameters, Guha et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04917-7
Sea level & climate change
Sandy beach erosion: impacts and adaptation strategies in Thailand, Thepsiriamnuay & Pumijumnong, Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-024-04763-7
Storm Surges and Extreme Sea Levels: Review, Establishment of Model Intercomparison and Coordination of Surge Climate Projection Efforts (SurgeMIP)., Bernier et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689
Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry
Amplified seasonality in western Europe in a warmer world, de Winter et al., Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.adl6717
Changes in monsoon precipitation in East Asia under a 2°C interglacial warming, Gao et al., Science Advances 10.1126/sciadv.adm7694
Dendrochronology and extreme climate signals recorded in seven Icelandic shrubs: A multi-species approach in the sub-Arctic, Opa?a-Owczarek et al., Dendrochronologia 10.1016/j.dendro.2024.126207
Subglacial valleys preserved in the highlands of south and east Greenland record restricted ice extent during past warmer climates, Paxman et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2502
Tropical Warming and Intensification of the West African Monsoon During the Miocene Climatic Optimum, Wubben et al., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023pa004767
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
Brief communication: Recent estimates of glacier mass loss for western North America from laser altimetry, Menounos et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2408
Climate change could negate U.S. forest ecosystem service benefits gained through reductions in nitrogen and sulfur deposition, Phelan et al., Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-024-60652-z
Evaluation of Land Surface Phenology in Northern Hemisphere Permafrost Regions, Zhao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1029/2023jg007951
Large-scale remote sensing analysis reveals an increasing coupling of grassland vitality to atmospheric water demand, Kowalski et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.17315
Rapid climate change increases diversity and homogenizes composition of coastal fish at high latitudes, Siwertsson et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17273
Stress-tolerant trees for resilient cities: Tree-ring analysis reveals species suitable for a future climate, Locosselli et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101964
Temperature alters the predator-prey size relationships and size-selectivity of Southern Ocean fish, Eskuche-Keith et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-48279-0
The impact of changing climate on the spread of the widely expanding species Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Slovakia, Hrabovský et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-024-05006-5
Unveiling the potential of biomarkers in the context of climate change: analysis of knowledge landscapes, trends, and research priorities, Zyoud, Regional Environmental Change 10.1007/s10113-024-02246-z
Variation in the strength and stationarity of southern longleaf pine seasonwood climate-growth relationships, Zampieri et al., Dendrochronologia 10.1016/j.dendro.2024.126209
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
Controls on the Respiration of Ancient Carbon Draining From Permafrost Soils Into Sunlit Arctic Surface Waters, Rieb et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jg007853
Global nitrous oxide emissions from livestock manure during 1890–2020: An IPCC tier 2 inventory, Zhang et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17303
High carbon dioxide emissions from Australian estuaries driven by geomorphology and climate, Yeo et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-48178-4
Magnitude of and Hydroclimatic Controls on CO2 and CH4 Emissions in the Subtropical Monsoon Pearl River Basin, Chen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jg007967
Modeling microbial carbon fluxes and stocks in global soils from 1901 to 2016, He et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-2313-2024
Monitoring the impact of forest changes on carbon uptake with solar-induced fluorescence measurements from GOME-2A and TROPOMI for an Australian and Chinese case study, Anema et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-2297-2024
Predictive mapping of organic carbon stocks and accumulation rates in surficial sediments of the Canadian continental margin, Epstein et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/essd-2023-295
Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001
Unveil the carbon footprint of textiles dyed with different reactive dyestuff recipes from an industrial manufacturing perspective, Zhu et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment 10.1007/s11367-024-02323-9
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
A critical review of distributed fiber optic sensing applied to geologic carbon dioxide storage, Liu et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology 10.1002/ghg.2279
Modeling direct air carbon capture and storage in a 1.5 °C climate future using historical analogs, Edwards et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access pdf 10.1073/pnas.2215679121
Opinion: A research roadmap for exploring atmospheric methane removal via iron salt aerosol, Gorham et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-24-5659-2024
Performance study on mixed solvent for post-combustion carbon capture using rotating packed bed technology, Joel et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology Open Access pdf 10.1002/ghg.2280
Decarbonization
Climate change and the built environment - a systematic review, Tajuddeen & Sajjadian Siriwardana Rathnayaka, Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-024-04962-2
Ecological construction status of photovoltaic power plants in China’s deserts, Wang et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1406546
From consumer to prosumer: A model-based analysis of costs and benefits of grid-connected residential PV-battery systems, Benalcazar et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114167
Jordan wind energy potential and suggested areas for large-scale wind turbines investment, AL Jarrah & AL Dwairi, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101452
Maximizing PV generation with lower tilt angles to meet high summer electricity demand on the Indian electricity grid, Ghosh et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101446
Numerical study on solar photovoltaic/thermal system with tesla valve, Du et al., Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-024-61785-x
The roll-to-roll revolution to tackle the industrial leap for perovskite solar cells, Parvazian & Watson, Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-48518-4
Variability in the properties of the distribution of the relative humidity with respect to ice: implications for contrail formation, Sanogo et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-5495-2024
Geoengineering climate
Opinion: A research roadmap for exploring atmospheric methane removal via iron salt aerosol, Gorham et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-24-5659-2024
Climate change communications & cognition
Analysis of green deal communication on twitter: environmental and political perspective, , Journal of Development and Social Sciences Open Access pdf 10.47205/jdss.2021(2-iv)74
Comparing public and scientific extreme event attribution to climate change, Zanocco et al., Climatic Change 10.1007/s10584-024-03735-0
Flood risk and climate change: A disconnect between homeowners’ awareness and mitigating actions?, Jansen, Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100616
News coverage of climate change and generation Z, Novak, Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-024-03731-4
Publicly expressed climate scepticism is greatest in regions with high CO2 emissions, Pearson et al., Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-024-03740-3
Setting the agenda for climate assemblies. Trade-offs and guiding principles, Pfeffer, Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2024.2349824
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Factors influencing small holder farmers adoption of climate SMART agriculture practices in Welmera Woreda, Central Ethiopia, Gudina & Alemu, Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1322550
Factors influencing the carbon footprint of rice production in Northeastern Vietnam, Yen & Kamoshita, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment 10.1007/s11367-024-02308-8
False springs in the Netherlands: climate change impact assessment with the false spring damage indicator model, Bosdijk et al., Regional Environmental Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-024-02235-2
Incorporating leys in arable systems as a mitigation strategy to reduce soil organic carbon losses during land-use change, Nyameasem et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1399197
Long-term straw return to a wheat-maize system results in topsoil organic C saturation and increased yields while no stimulating or reducing yield-scaled N2O and NO emissions, Yao et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109937
Modeling a pastoral social–ecological system and its application to climate risk assessment of traditional livelihoods, Takashina & Kakinuma, Sustainability Science 10.1007/s11625-024-01498-2
Opportunities and challenges to improve carbon and greenhouse gas budgets of the forest industry through better management of pulp and paper by-products, Laberge et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1381141
Organic food has lower environmental impacts per area unit and similar climate impacts per mass unit compared to conventional, Hashemi et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01415-6
Reconceptualising seaweed cultivation in China: climate law and policy implications, Zou & Zhang, Carbon Management Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2024.2349941
Revisiting the role of climate change on crop production: evidence from Mediterranean countries, Baris-Tuzemen & Lyhagen, Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-024-04991-x
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
Analysis of extreme precipitation variation characteristics in mountain grasslands of arid and semi-arid regions in China, Li et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1403490
Annual and seasonal precipitation dynamics in the South of Russia in the context of climate change, Gudko et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05005-6
Assessing climate change impacts in the Cauvery Basin using evapotranspiration projections and its implications on water management, J & E, Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-04998-4
California’s 2023 snow deluge: Contextualizing an extreme snow year against future climate change, Marshall et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2320600121
Quantifying the contribution of climate change and human activities to surface drought in Qinghai, northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, Qin et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-04983-x
Reservoir Filling Up Problems in a Changing Climate: Insights From CryoSat-2 Altimetry, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl108934
Spatiotemporal analysis of historic and future drought characteristics over a monsoon dominated humid region (kerala) in india, Sivan & Pramada, Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-05004-7
The impact of precipitation changes on the safety of railway operations in China under the background of climate change, Jiang et al., Frontiers in Earth Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/feart.2024.1319736
Climate change economics
Asymmetric impacts of economic factors on CO2 emissions in Pakistan: evidence from the NARDL model, Nguyen et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04866-1
Economic evaluation of decarbonizing the electricity sector in the Dominican Republic, Victor-Gallardo et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1380382
Green central banking: reorienting finance through a recalibration of monetary policy, Vestergaard, Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2024.2353118
Tackling debt, biodiversity loss, and climate change, Losos et al., Science 10.1126/science.ado7418
Climate change mitigation public policy research
A novel framework for evaluating the impact of carbon subsidies and taxes on Africa’s energy industry using optimization modelling, Quayson et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04778-0
Alternative climate metrics to the Global Warming Potential are more suitable for assessing aviation non-CO2 effects, Megill et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01423-6
Are consumers ready to adopt electric vehicles? Analyzing the barriers and motivators associated with electric vehicle adoption in India: Policy implications for various stakeholders, Yadav & Yadav, Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114173
Are vehicle lifespan caps an effective and efficient method for reducing US light-duty vehicle fleet GHG emissions?, Striepe et al., Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1088/2634-4505/ad397e
Can the market in voluntary carbon credits help reduce global emissions in line with Paris Agreement targets?, Pande, Science 10.1126/science.adp5223
China’s tourism transportation carbon emissions: dynamic mechanisms and multi-regulatory strategies simulation, Tong et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04985-9
Climate coalitions and anti-coalitions: Lobbying across state legislatures in the United States, Hall et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103562
Colonial erasures in gender and climate change solutions, Resurrección, WIREs Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1002/wcc.890
Cost-effective reductions in greenhouse gas emissions: Reducing fuel consumption or replacing fossil fuels with biofuels, Erickson et al., Consequences of Microbial Interactions with Hydrocarbons, Oils, and Lipids: Production of Fuels and Chemicals Open Access 10.1007/978-3-319-31421-1_379-1
Drivers and implications of alternative routes to fuels decarbonization in net-zero energy systems, Mignone et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-47059-0
Interactions within climate policyscapes: a network analysis of the electricity generation space in the United Kingdom, 1956–2022, Zambianchi & Biedenkopf, Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1386061
Navigating China's path to a low-carbon economy: A comprehensive review of regional and provincial carbon emissions policies, Chen et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101959
Pathways to mitigate household carbon emissions in Chinese cities: Intentions, actions, and environments, Li, Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101953
Phase-in and phase-out policies in the global steel transition, Algers & Åhman, Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2024.2353127
Research on driving factors and efficiency measures of low-carbon levels in less-developed regions: A case of Western China, Wang et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology 10.1002/ghg.2281
Rethinking the sustainability of transitions: An illustrative case of burden-shifting and sociotechnical dynamics of aviation fuel in Sweden, Lai & Karakaya, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103574
The impact of greenwashing on sustainability through green supply chain integration: the moderating role of information sharing, Santos et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-024-05009-2
Transition to cooking with clean fuels in rural households of India: Studying the effect of policy and other factors, Roy, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101456
Who will ‘go electric’? American homeowners' perceptions of home energy sources and home electrification, Hazboun et al., Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103575
“An island on the edge of Europe”: A study on academic air travel in Finland through a combined model of practice, Ahonen & Rask, Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103785
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
Last mile delivery of climate adaptation in Uganda, the need to integrate and decentralize climate adaptation planning and implementation processes, Leal & Heinze, Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2024.2340079
Linking the interplay of resilience, vulnerability, and adaptation to long-term changes in metropolitan spaces for climate-related disaster risk management, Hung et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100618
Sandy beach erosion: impacts and adaptation strategies in Thailand, Thepsiriamnuay & Pumijumnong, Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-024-04763-7
Surging seas, rising sea levels, and sinking communities: The urgent need for climate adaptation in small island states, Doorga et al., Environmental Science & Policy 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103788
The unequal impacts of extremely high temperatures on households’ adaptive behaviors: Empirical evidence from fine-grained electricity consumption data, Shi et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114170
Climate change impacts on human health
Amplification of the discrepancy between simplified and physics-based wet-bulb globe temperatures in a warmer climate, Qiu et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100677
Future malaria environmental suitability in Africa is sensitive to hydrology, Smith et al., Science Open Access pdf 10.1126/science.adk8755
Indian Ocean temperature anomalies predict long-term global dengue trends, Chen et al., Science Open Access pdf 10.1126/science.adj4427
Talking about climate change and health, , Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-024-02020-3
The cascading effects of climate change on children: extreme floods, family mobility and child well-being in Amazonia, de Carvalho, Climate and Development Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2024.2345331
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Combating sediment surge in Tibetan rivers, Yang et al., Science 10.1126/science.ado7997
Just transitions: Towards more just research, Hughes & Hoffmann McGowan Müller Pistollato Brown Vankeerberghen Orenstein Samanhudi Geels Zevenbergen Ahasan Ullah Mormont Cajulis Ray Iñesta Schartinger Ramos-Mejía Büscher Guillibert Rohrig Schiller Montesanti Annalisa Montesanti Zancul Tuntiwiwattanapun Guo Barry Finnveden Ferreira Lund Houlihan Wiberg Gangadeen Baloevic Lechtenböhmer Andreucci Ampah , WIREs Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1002/wcc.640
Book reviews
The Dao of Civilization: A Letter to China, Lin, Environmental Politics Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2024.2330296
Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change
Colorado's Double Agents, James Browning and Trevor Culhane, F Minus and the Climate Development Lab
Despite the climate crisis and Colorado’s worsening air quality, a package of anti-smog bills in the state legislature is facing stiff opposition from fossil fuel lobbyists. The authors find that many of these lobbyists also represent local governments, health care organizations, and other clients who are being harmed by air pollution. Th authors explore the extent to which these lobbyists are “double agents” working for fossil fuel clients at the same time they are working for victims of the climate crisis–and in some cases, even lobbying for and against the same environmental bill at the same time on behalf of different clients.
Stocktaking of security sector roles in climate and environmental security - Report on Iraq, Csordas et al., Geneva Centre for Security Sector Governance
Iraq is facing a range of climate and environmental risks, whose impacts on security are becoming increasingly apparent. From rising temperatures and water scarcity to widespread pollution and biodiversity loss, the combined effects of climate change and human pressures on the environment are contributing to local unrest, tensions, and increasing different dimensions of fragility. The authors explore the significant potential in the Iraqi reform process to improve service delivery of security institutions regarding mitigating and adapting to the impact of climate and environmental risks on communities and the environment, as well as strengthening social cohesion and contributing to sustainable peace.
Outlook for Pending Generation in the PJM Interconnection Queue, Silverman et al., The Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia Universit
The authors present the results of a survey of those best positioned to understand the impacts of interconnection process delays: project developers in the PJM-Interconnection market. The key finding from the survey is that PJM’s increasingly lengthy interconnection process is exacerbating siting and permitting challenges and leading to knock-on delays in equipment procurement and financing decisions, suggesting the timeline for new generation in this market will likely remain long for the foreseeable future. Given the importance of new entry to keeping prices competitive and maintaining reliability amid the retirement of older fossil resources, PJM will need to find ways to reduce interconnection delays or reconsider when those fossil resources should be retired.
What is Preventing Individual Climate Action? Impact Awareness and Perceived Difficulties in Changing Transport and Food Behaviour, Timmons et al., Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI)
Mitigating climate change requires large and, by historical standards, rapid changes to policy, business processes, and individual behaviour. The authors examine awareness of and perceived difficulty with individual behaviour change concerning two actions associated with high levels of emissions: transport and food choice. A nationally (Ireland) representative sample of 1,200 adults completed an online study about everyday transport and food behaviour, run in September 2023. After completing a diary task about the previous day, participants identified the parts of their day that mattered most for their carbon footprint. Answers were elicited via incentivized, open-text questions to prevent pre-set options from biasing responses. Participants also answered standard survey questions about their use of various modes of transport in a typical week and their consumption of various foods. Participants who reported wanting to change their transport behaviour and diet ‘to reduce their carbon footprint’ (47 percent and 42 percent, respectively) listed reasons why it is difficult for them to do so, again via open-text questions.
Insurance as a Catalyst for Climate Action: Incentivizing a Reduction in Health Care Emissions to Improve Worker Safety and Health System Resilience, New York State Insurance Fund
Climate change is a threat to human health and worker safety, increasing the risk of injury, illness, and death in all types of occupational settings. Although the healthcare sector is on the frontlines of confronting the effects of climate change, it is also a significant source of greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions, contributing to the crisis. Hospitals are the largest emitters within the sector and while many are aware and motivated to take action, competing priorities can make it challenging. To incentivize a reduction in emissions, enhance system resilience, and improve worker safety, the New York State Insurance Fund is launching a voluntary pilot program to help New York hospital systems manage the risks associated with climate change.
Incorporating Climate Change and Climate Policy into Macroeconomic Modeling: Proceedings of a Workshop (2024), Glackin et al., National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Macroeconomic models, essential for decision-making and federal budget planning, may not appropriately consider the wide breadth of climate-related impacts that potentially have large macroeconomic significance. Challenges integrating climate factors into macroeconomic analyses can stem from the complexity of macroeconomics, climate science, policy instruments, and their interactions. Although economists have made progress in developing tools to understand climate-related impacts on the macroeconomy, much of the climate and macroeconomic research has historically been conducted in disciplinary silos that can limit a holistic understanding of climate-related impacts on the macroeconomy.
NIDIS Annual Report, 2023, National Integrated Drought Information System
2023 was a groundbreaking year for the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Program, from launching a technical workshop and releasing a NOAA Technical Memorandum that examines drought assessment in a changing climate to hosting the second Flash Drought Workshop and refining the pursuit of research and actions that helps to better understand rapid onset drought events, to building trusted relationships and important dialogues with tribal partners across the Missouri River Basin and Upper Columbia River Basin in September.
Pilot Climate Scenario Analysis Exercise, Board of Governors of The Federal Reserve System, The Federal Reserve System
The Federal Reserve conducted a pilot climate scenario analysis (CSA) exercise in 2023 to learn about large banking organizations’ climate risk-management practices and challenges and to enhance the ability of large banking organizations and supervisors to identify, estimate, monitor, and manage climate-related financial risks. The exercise was conducted with six large bank holding companies: Bank of America Corporation; Citigroup Inc; The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.; JPMorgan Chase & Co.; Morgan Stanley; and Wells Fargo & Company (together, “participants”). The pilot CSA exercise was exploratory and does not have consequences for bank capital or supervisory implications. Participants used climate scenario analysis to consider the resiliency of their business models to a range of climate scenarios and to explore potential vulnerabilities across short- and longer-term time horizons.
National Intelligence Estimate: Dynamics Shaping Global Health Security In the Next Decade, National Intellignce Council, National Intelligence Council
Factors Shaping Global Health Security Through 2033. During the next decade, the global health security landscape will be shaped by climate and societal changes, strained health infrastructure and capacity, and eroding global health governance. Nonetheless, promising health advances through the expanded use of successful initiatives developed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and emerging technological developments are poised to address some of the shortfalls.
Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions
We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light" but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance.
- Here's an excellent collection of tips and techniques for obtaining articles, legally.
- Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
- The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway.
How is New Research assembled?
Most articles appearing here are found via RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance.
Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database.
The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:
- Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically.
- Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.
A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we'll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."
The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.
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Journals covered
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