Skeptical Science New Research for Week #25, 2020
Posted on 24 June 2020 by Doug Bostrom
Annual fishing report
It's been about a year since we swapped out the New Research deckhand. It seems longer— particularly the past 4 months— and not because of this particular work.
Over the course of the year somewhere in the neighborhood of 17,500 articles have been caught in our net, with about 1:5 making it into these summaries. In all about 3,500 made the grade as "climate research consumable."
For the upcoming year, better sorting of species is a continuing objective. As well, in the background (slowly) we're making progress in creating a kind of warehouse (given the already strained fishing analogy, an aquarium?) of articles.
82 Articles
Physical science of global warming & effects
Variability of the Surface Energy Balance in Permafrost Underlain Boreal Forest (open access)
Mechanisms underlying recent Arctic Atlantification
Observations & observational methods of global warming & effects
ECTACI: European Climatology and Trend Atlas of Climate Indices (1979?2017)
From a polar to a marine environment: has the changing Arctic ledto a shift in aerosol light scattering properties? (open access)
Observed extreme precipitation trends and scaling in Central Europe
Rapid cooling and increased storminess triggered by freshwater in the North Atlantic
Changes of the Arctic marginal ice zone during the satellite era (open access)
Comparative Analysis of Cold Events Over Central and Eastern China Associated with Arctic Warming in Early 2008 and 2016 (open access)
A Third Generation of Homogenized Temperature for Trend Analysis and Monitoring Changes in Canada’s Climate (open access)
A shortening of the life?cycle of major tropical cyclones
Strong intensification of hourly rainfall extremes by urbanization
Describing the Relationship between a Weather Event and Climate Change: A New Statistical Approach (open access)
Edge Detection Reveals Abrupt and Extreme Climate Events (open access)
Influence of growing season temperature and precipitation anomalies on crop yield in the southeastern United States
Assessment of extreme precipitation through climate change indices in Zacatecas, Mexico
Assessing current and future trends of climate extremes across Brazil based on reanalyses and earth system model projections
Distinct tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly regimes enhanced under recent global warming
Modeling & simulation of global warming & global warming effects
Exploring the Drivers of Global and Local Sea?Level Change over the 21st Century and Beyond (open access)
Distinct responses of Asian summer monsoon to black carbon aerosols and greenhouse gases (open access)
Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP Multi?model Ensemble
Understanding Future Change of Global Monsoons Projected by CMIP6 Models (open access)
Tibetan Plateau amplification of climate extremes under global warming of 1.5?°C, 2?°C and 3?°C
Projections of future meteorological drought events under representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of CMIP5 over Kenya, East Africa
GCM selection and temperature projection of Nigeria under different RCPs of the CMIP5 GCMS
Changes in the exposure of California’s levee-protected critical infrastructure to flooding hazard in a warming climate
Climate model advancement
Spatially resolved evaluation of Earth system models with satellite column averaged CO2 (open access)
Uncertainty in Aerosol Radiative Forcing Impacts the Simulated Global Monsoon in the 20th Century (open access)
An Overview of the Extratropical Storm Tracks in CMIP6 Historical Simulations (open access)
Benchmarking Simulated Precipitation in Earth System Models (open access)
Regional Dynamic Sea Level Simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models: Mean Biases, Future Projections, and Their Linkages
Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations (open access)
Extreme hot days over three global mega?regions: Historical fidelity and future projection (open access)
Biology & global warming
Using respiration quotients to track changing sources of soil respiration seasonally and with experimental warming (open access)
Past and future sky-island dynamics of tropical mountains: A model for two Geotrupes (Coleoptera: Geotrupidae) species in Oaxaca, Mexico
Can changes in autumn phenology facilitate earlier green-up date of northern vegetation?
Impact of Climate Change and Adaptive Genetic Potential of Norway Spruce at the South–eastern Range of Species Distribution
Impact of warming on the physiological condition of ridged-eye flounder Pleuronichthys lighti during the summer in the central Seto Inland Sea, Japan
Unchartered waters: Climate change likely to intensify infectious disease outbreaks causing mass mortality events in marine mammals
Thermal tolerance in the amphipod Sunamphitoe parmerong from a global warming hotspot, acclimatory carryover effects within generation
Elevated atmospheric humidity prolongs active growth period and increases leaf nitrogen resorption efficiency of silver birch
GHG sources & sinks, flux
Causes of slowing?down seasonal CO2 amplitude at Mauna Loa
Investigating the sensitivity of soil respiration to recent snow cover changes in Alaska using a satellite-based permafrost carbon model (open access)
The increasing atmospheric burden of the greenhouse gas sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) (open access)
Temperature proxies as a solution to biased sampling of lake methane emissions
The contribution of methane photoproduction to the oceanic methane paradox
Spectral evidence for substrate availability rather than environmental control of methane emissions from a coastal forested wetland
Growth stage-dependent responses of carbon fixation process of alpine grasslands to climate change over the Tibetan Plateau, China
Towards improving the assessment of rainforest carbon: complementary evidence from repeated diameter measurements and dated wood
Air temperature is the main driving factor of radiation use efficiency and carbon storage of mature Norway spruce stands under global climate change
Carbon and water fluxes and their coupling in an alpine meadow ecosystem on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau
Ensemble projections elucidate effects of uncertainty in terrestrial nitrogen limitation on future carbon uptake
Plant carbon allocation drives turnover of old soil organic matter in permafrost tundra soils
Drainage increases CO2 and N2O emissions from tropical peat soils
Allometric constraints and competition enable the simulation of size structure and carbon fluxes in a dynamic vegetation model of tropical forests (LM3PPA?TV)
A regime shift from erosion to carbon accumulation in a temperate northern peatland
CO2 mitigation science & engineering
Evaluating the terrestrial carbon dioxide removal (tCDR) potential of improved forest management (IFM) and accelerated forest conversion (AFC) in Norway
Biochar from cookstoves reduces greenhouse gas emissions from smallholder farms in Africa (open access)
Comparison of reactions with different calcium sources for CaCO3 production using carbonic anhydrase
Black carbon
Measurement report: Quantifying source contribution and radiative forcing of fossil fuel and biomass burning black carbon aerosol in the southeastern margin of Tibetan Plateau (open access)
Climate change communications & cognition
Online misinformation about climate change
Negations in uncertainty lexicon affect attention, decision-making and trust (open access)
Countering Identity-protective Responses to Climate Change Data (open access)
Persistence of Scepticism in Media Reporting on Climate Change: The Case of British Newspapers (open access)
What Adaptation Stories are UK Newspapers Telling? A Narrative Analysis (open access)
How a growth mindset can change the climate: The power of implicit beliefs in influencing people's view and action
Agronomy & climate change
Influence of growing season temperature and precipitation anomalies on crop yield in the southeastern United States
Adaptation to climate change through agricultural paradigm shift
Greenhouse gas emissions, grain yield and water productivity: a paddy rice field case study based in Myanmar
The effect of crop residues, cover crops, manures and nitrogen fertilization on soil organic carbon changes in agroecosystems: a synthesis of reviews (open access)
Humans dealing with our global warming
Climate risk assessment and cascading impacts: risks and opportunities for an electrical utility in the U.S. Southwest
Governance of climate adaptation, which mode? An exploration of stakeholder viewpoints on how to organize adaptation (open access)
Governing climate risks in the face of normative uncertainties
Transformative narratives for climate action (open access)
Management of small irrigation tank cascade systems (STCS) in Sri Lanka: past, present and future (open access)
Attitudes of urban residents towards environmental migration in Kenya and Vietnam
The impact of regulatory and financial discrimination on China’s low-carbon development
Governance of climate adaptation, which mode? An exploration of stakeholder viewpoints on how to organize adaptation (open access)
Carbon Pricing Efficacy: Cross-Country Evidence
Evaluating the Polish White Certificate scheme
Challenges and opportunities for climate policy integration in oil-producing countries: the case of the UAE and Oman (open access)
Impacts of climate change policies worldwide on the Russian economy (open access)
Road fuel demand and regional effects of carbon taxes in Sweden
Assessing synergy of incentives and nudges in the energy policy mix
Innovation for the German energy transition - Insights from an expert survey
Financing mode of energy performance contracting projects with carbon emissions reduction potential and carbon emissions ratings
Other
A revised pan-Arctic permafrost soil Hg pool based on Western Siberian peat Hg and carbon observations (open access)
Consumption of CH3Cl, CH3Br, and CH3I and emission of CHCl3, CHBr3, and CH2Br2 from the forefield of a retreating Arctic glacier (open access)
Industry?Dominated Science Advisory Boards Are Perceived To Be Legitimate…But Only When They Recommend More Stringent Risk Management Policies
A Geothermal heat flux map of Antarctica empirically constrained by seismic structure
Meltwater?enhanced nutrient export from Greenland's glacial fjords: a sensitivity analysis
Climate sensitivity to decadal land cover and land use change across the conterminous United States
Informed opinion & nudges
Invited Perspective: What Lies Beneath a Changing Arctic? (open access)
Suggestions
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Journals covered
A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.
Previous edition
The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.
Warehouse sounds great! Will it be searchable by topic, e.g. "hurricanes" or "drought"?
Thanks, Doug, for creating such a valuable resource!
An early work from when skepticism towards the idea of climate change began. This was about a 2-year research project that ended with research results on climate change. These results were presented to OECD by Sweden's leadership. As project director I took the results into a dissertation at the Wharton School of Business. The research conclusions were in three volumes, titled "Environmental Protection: Analytic Solutions in Search of Synthetic Problems." The Dean of Wharton was firmly opposed to the reports, and the dissertation that followed saying: "I do not see what environmental deterioration has to do with business." I agreed that he did not see such. In anger he never sent the dissertation to the U of Penn library. The PhD was eventualy granted. Students, in protest, published the work via their organization at the Wharton School. That work was republished last year, with a 30 page update. The title: "Too Early, Too Late, Now what?"
A very pessimistic book on the most likely human future. There have been no signs of meaningful change in 40 years, even though some great ideas were available from business and government leaders back then.
Joel, thank you. But I should point out that it was Ari Jokimäki who started this resource. After many years (and countless articles) he handed over the helm to me.
Ari's RSS feed arrangement made it possible to hit the ground at a stumble as opposed to collapse. :-)
Dawei, I'm pondering on how that might be possible without causing a ripple effect in site code development (we're already highly tasked in that department).
David Hawk @3
Hmm. Interesting story. I had never heard of the Wharton School of Business until someone who starred on a reality TV series talked about going there, sending at least one of his kids there, and what a great school it was. (He's currently the lead character in an ongoing 4-year series on politics in the U.S.)
Now I know a little more about the School, and it explains something to me.
That's a remarkable story, David Hawk, depressing and yet hopeful.
Thank you for sharing it.