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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #2, 2021
Posted on 13 January 2021 by Doug Bostrom
Tide of tidal data rises 
Having cast our own fate to include rising sea level, there's a degree of urgency in learning the history of mean sea level in any given spot, beyond idle curiosity. Sea level rise (SLR) isn't equal from one place to another and even at a particular coordinate is not monotonic, isn't smoothly continuous. Particularly for adaptation and resilience planning purposes it's useful to know the full history of sea level anywhere that something or someone is at risk from rising waters.
Also, our nature is such that yes, we're simply curious about such things as "how high was the sea here, 125 years ago?"
As a case in point, distinguished specialist in such matters Dr. Marta Marcos leads a team to successful recovery of valuable tidal data from some old instruments fascinating in their own right, in Historical tide gauge sea?level observations in Alicante and Santander (Spain) since the 19th century, just published as an open access paper. This paper is especially effective in concisely conveying the broader context of the specific work at hand, and offers a rich trove of references for those interested in learning more of the topic.
The authors describe the larger picture to which these particular records will add brushstrokes in a previously blank area of canvas:
Sea?level observations are among the longest environmental records due to their relevance for maritime navigation and harbour operation (Pugh and Woodworth, 2014). Some instrumental tide gauge measurements date back to the 18th century, although it took until the mid?20th century before the tide gauge network was truly global and covered most of the world's coastlines (Holgate et al., 2013). However, few century?long sea?level time series are currently available before 1900. This scarcity of long?term sea?level observations, as well as their uneven geographical distribution, is a major challenge for climate studies that address, for example, the quantification of mean sea?level rise at centennial time scales, the accurate assessment of sea?level acceleration or the long?term changes in sea?level extremes that are vital for coastal risk assessments (Holgate et al., 2013).
A brief quote can't do the article justice. There's a lot to learn and enjoy in this work, including some illustrations of tidal measurement equipment dating far back in time. Open access and free to read, here.
110 Articles
Observations of climate change, effects
Central Himalayan tree-ring isotopes reveal increasing regional heterogeneity and enhancement in ice mass loss since the 1960s
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-95-2021
Decadal Variability in the Impact of Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on the Winter Climate of Northern Russia
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0566.1
Drivers of Pine Island Glacier speed-up between 1996 and 2016
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-113-2021
Exploring extreme warm temperature trends in South Africa: 1960–2016
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03479-8
Recent North Greenland temperature warming and accumulation (preprint)
Seasonality in the Vertical Structure of Long-Term Temperature Trends Over North America
DOI: 10.1080/07055900.2020.1855409
Cold?Season Arctic Amplification Driven by Arctic Ocean?Mediated Seasonal Energy Transfer
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001898
Recent Shift in the Warming of the Southern Oceans Modulated by Decadal Climate Variability
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090889
Increasing synchronous fire danger in forests of the western United States
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091377
Increasingly favourable winter temperature conditions for major crop and forest insect pest species in Switzerland
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108315
Identifying the dominant driving factors of heat waves in the North China Plain
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105458
Spatial diversity of air temperature changes in Poland in 1961–2018
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03487-8
Changes in annual extreme temperature and heat indices in Limpopo province: period 1941–2016
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03511-x
Factors responsible for consecutive deficit Indian monsoons during 2014 and 2015
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03486-9
Phenological trends of multi-taxonomic groups in Latvia, 1970–2018
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-02068-8
Replacement of oyster reefs by mangroves: Unexpected climate?driven ecosystem shifts
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15494
Seasonal temperature trends on the Spanish mainland: a secular study (1916–2015)
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
Headline Indicators for Global Climate Monitoring
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0196.1
Power law characteristics of trend analysis in Turkey
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03408-9
Historical tide gauge sea?level observations in Alicante and Santander (Spain) since the 19th century
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.112
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects MSWE
A benchmark estimate of the effect of anthropogenic emissions on the ocean surface
Potential shifts in climate zones under a future global warming scenario using soil moisture classification
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05576-w
Evaluating heat extremes in the UK Climate Projections (UKCP18)
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc4ad
Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10503429.1
Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability and ENSO Precursor in CMIP5 Models
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0158.1
Atmospheric dynamic constraints on Tibetan Plateau freshwater under Paris climate targets
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00974-8
Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w
Decoupling of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation in a warmer climate
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00966-8
Cold?Season Arctic Amplification Driven by Arctic Ocean?Mediated Seasonal Energy Transfer
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001898
Climate sensitivity increases under higher CO2 levels due to feedback temperature dependence
Role of geostrophic currents in future changes of coastal upwelling in the California Current System
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090768
Caspian Sea and Black Sea response to greenhouse warming in a high?resolution Global Climate Model
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090270
Impact of climate change on groundwater recharge in a Brazilian Savannah watershed
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03477-w
Decomposition of projected summer rainfall change over East Asia based on timeslice experiments
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05602-x
Present-day climate and projected future temperature and precipitation changes in Ecuador
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03483-y
Impact of ocean heat transport on the Arctic sea-ice decline: a model study with EC-Earth3
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05540-8
Modelling hydrological processes under climate change scenarios in the Jemma Sub-basin of upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100272
Advances in climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Evaluation of the CMIP6 marine subtropical stratocumulus cloud albedo and its controlling factors (preprint)
Validation and Sensitivity Analysis of a 1?D Lake Model across Global Lakes
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033417
Sensitivity evaluation of the different physical parameterizations schemes in regional climate model RegCM4.5 for simulation of air temperature and precipitation over North and West of Iran
DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2020.101199
Assessment of CMIP6 in simulating precipitation over arid Central Asia
Evaluation and Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 Model Performance in Simulating the Seasonal Extreme Precipitation in the Western North Pacific and East Asia
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100303
Understanding the signal-to-noise paradox in decadal climate predictability from CMIP5 and an eddying global coupled model
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05621-8
Cryosphere & climate change
Central Himalayan tree-ring isotopes reveal increasing regional heterogeneity and enhancement in ice mass loss since the 1960s
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-95-2021
Present and future aerosol impacts on Arctic climate change in the GISS-E2.1 Earth system model
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2020-1296 (preprint)
Drivers of Pine Island Glacier speed-up between 1996 and 2016
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-113-2021
Recent North Greenland temperature warming and accumulation (preprint)
Impact of ocean heat transport on the Arctic sea-ice decline: a model study with EC-Earth3
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05540-8
Paleoclimate
PMIP4/CMIP6 last interglacial simulations using three different versions of MIROC: importance of vegetation
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/cp-17-21-2021
Biology & climate change
Replacement of oyster reefs by mangroves: Unexpected climate?driven ecosystem shifts
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15494
Genomic evidence of past and future climate-linked loss in a migratory Arctic fish
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00959-7
Tracking biological footprints of climate change using flowering phenology of the geophytes: Pancratium tenuifolium and Scadoxus multiflorus
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-02052-2
Trait-Based Modeling of Terrestrial Ecosystems: Advances and Challenges Under Global Change
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00168-6
Consequences of climate change on airborne pollen in Bavaria, Central Europe
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-020-01729-z
Phenological trends of multi-taxonomic groups in Latvia, 1970–2018
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-02068-8
Rock glaciers and related cold rocky landforms: overlooked climate refugia for mountain biodiversity
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15510
Climate?driven range shifts reduce persistence of competitors in a perennial plant community
Quantifying thermal exposure for migratory riverine species: Phenology of Chinook salmon populations predicts thermal stress
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15450
Multispecies justice: Climate?just futures with, for and beyond humans
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.699
Ocean acidification locks algal communities in a species?poor early successional stage
Wild bees as winners and losers: Relative impacts of landscape composition, quality, and climate
Predator presence and recent climatic warming raise body temperatures of island lizards
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13671
Common?garden experiment reveals clinal trends of bud phenology in black spruce populations from a latitudinal gradient in the boreal forest
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.13582
High?level rather than low?level warming destabilizes plant community biomass production
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.13583
GHG sources & sinks, flux
Advancing on large-scale trends of apparent organic matter reactivity in marine sediments and patterns of benthic carbon transformation
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-435 (preprint)
High-resolution induced polarization imaging of biogeochemical carbon-turnover hot spots in a peatland
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-438 (preprint)
Simulating measurable ecosystem carbon and nitrogen dynamics with the mechanistically-defined MEMS 2.0 model
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-493 (preprint)
Estimating 2010–2015 Anthropogenic and Natural Methane Emissions in Canada using ECCC Surface and GOSAT Satellite Observations
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2020-1195 (preprint)
Carbon balance of a Finnish bog: temporal variability and limiting factors
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-488 (preprint)
Isotopic branchpoints: linkages and efficiencies in carbon and water budgets
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006043
Carbon Dioxide Fluxes of a Young Deciduous Afforestation Under the Influence of Seasonal Precipitation Patterns and Frequent Typhoon Occurrence
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005996
Estimating greenhouse gas emissions from peat combustion in wildfires on Indonesian peatlands, and their uncertainty
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006218
Predictable variations of the carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 growth in a multi?model framework
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10504292.1
Long?term, amplified responses of soil organic carbon to nitrogen addition worldwide
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15489
Data?driven estimates of global litter production imply slower vegetation carbon turnover
Quantifying carbon flows in Switzerland: top-down meets bottom-up modelling
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abcdd5
Combined carbon flows through detritus, microbes, and animals in reference and experimentally enriched stream ecosystems
DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3279
CO2 removal & mitigation science & engineering
Efficient carbon dioxide hydrogenation to formic acid with buffering ionic liquids
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20291-0
Increased carbon capture by a silicate-treated forested watershed affected by acid deposition
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-288
Extensive urban green roof shows consistent annual net uptake of carbon as documented by five years of eddy?covariance flux measurements
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005879
Carbon Dioxide Fluxes of a Young Deciduous Afforestation Under the Influence of Seasonal Precipitation Patterns and Frequent Typhoon Occurrence
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005996
Geoengineering climate
Demonstration of a Remotely Piloted Atmospheric Measurement and Charge Release Platform for Geoengineering
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/jtech-d-20-0092.1
Black carbon
Aerosols
Present and future aerosol impacts on Arctic climate change in the GISS-E2.1 Earth system model
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2020-1296 (preprint)
Climate change communications & cognition
Seasonal Calendars Enhance Climate Communication in the Pacific
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/wcas-d-20-0035.1
Elite Company: Sourcing Trends in 2014–2017 Prestige Press Climate Change Editorials
DOI: 10.1080/17524032.2020.1866635
Farmers' perception on combined climatic and market risks and their adaptive behaviors: a case in Shandong Province of China
DOI: 10.1007/s10668-020-01198-8
The Fifth Estate: Analyzing Climate Change Punditry in the Zimbabwean Newspaper Columns
Agronomy & climate change
Climate change and high-altitude food security: a small-scale study from the Karnali region in Nepal
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2020.1855099
Climate change adaptation strategies, farm performance and poverty reduction among smallholder farming households in Ghana
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2020.1860884
Increasingly favourable winter temperature conditions for major crop and forest insect pest species in Switzerland
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108315
Economics & finance of climate change & mitigation
Influence of a pilot carbon trading policy on enterprises’ low-carbon innovation in China
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1864268
Climate change mitigation public policy research
Carbon dioxide mitigation co-effect analysis of clean air policies: lessons and perspectives in China’s Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd215
Acceptance of climate-oriented policy measures under the COVID-19 crisis: an empirical analysis for Germany
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1864269
Climate justice and rights-based litigation in a post-Paris world
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1867047
Upward-scaling tipping cascades to meet climate goals: plausible grounds for hope
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1870097
Climate change impacts on human health
Climate change and high-altitude food security: a small-scale study from the Karnali region in Nepal
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2020.1855099
Technological opportunities for sensing of the health effects of weather and climate change: a state-of-the-art-review
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-02063-z
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
The political complexity of coastal flood risk reduction: lessons for climate adaptation public works in the U.S.
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10502705.3
Farmers' perception on combined climatic and market risks and their adaptive behaviors: a case in Shandong Province of China
DOI: 10.1007/s10668-020-01198-8
Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh of Assessing Climate Hazard-related Loss and Damage and State of Adaptive Capacity to Address them
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100273
Climate change impacts on human culture
Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9
Consequences of climate change on airborne pollen in Bavaria, Central Europe
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-020-01729-z
Tourism climatology: past, present, and future
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-02070-0
Impacts of multiple stressors on mountain communities: Insights from an agent-based model of a Nepalese village
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102203
Livelihood vulnerability to climate change in the mountains of Northern Vietnam: comparing the Hmong and the Dzao ethnic minority populations
DOI: 10.1007/s10668-020-01221-y
Other
Orbital forcing strongly influences seasonal temperature trends during the last millennium
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gl088776
Climate Impacts of COVID?19 Induced Emission Changes
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091805
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Headline Indicators for Global Climate Monitoring
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0196.1
Opinion: Gigacity – a source of problems or the new way to sustainable development
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.3188/szf.2005.0052 (preprint)
Climate change, slow onset events and human mobility: reviewing the evidence
DOI: 10.1016/j.cosust.2020.11.007
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