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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #38, 2020
Posted on 23 September 2020 by Doug Bostrom
Highlighted article: Carbon pricing and planetary boundaries
Engström et al take what might be called a systems approach to evaluating carbon pricing, taking into a account various economic sectors affected by and affecting paying for emissions. The conclusions are overall a rare pleasant surprise— a feature predicated on cooperation.
Abstract:
Human activities are threatening to push the Earth system beyond its planetary boundaries, risking catastrophic and irreversible global environmental change. Action is urgently needed, yet well-intentioned policies designed to reduce pressure on a single boundary can lead, through economic linkages, to aggravation of other pressures. In particular, the potential policy spillovers from an increase in the global carbon price onto other critical Earth system processes has received little attention to date. To this end, we explore the global environmental effects of pricing carbon, beyond its effect on carbon emissions. We find that the case for carbon pricing globally becomes even stronger in a multi-boundary world, since it can ameliorate many other planetary pressures. It does however exacerbate certain planetary pressures, largely by stimulating additional biofuel production. When carbon pricing is allied with a biofuel policy, however, it can alleviate all planetary pressures.
Open access and free to read, and accompanied by a treasure of interesting supporting references.
88 Articles
Observations of global warming & effects
Buoyant calving and ice-contact lake evolution at Pasterze Glacier (Austria) in the period 1998–2019
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-227
Driving Forces of Circum-Antarctic Glacier and Ice Shelf Front Retreat over the Last Two Decades
New perspectives on ‘warming-wetting’ trend in Xinjiang, China
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.004
Changes in monsoon rainfall distribution of Bangladesh using quantile regression model
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03387-x
Surface mean temperature from the observational stations and multiple reanalyses over the Tibetan Plateau
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05386-0
Ground observed climatology and trend in snow cover phenology across China with consideration of snow-free breaks
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05422-z
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate & global warming
Characterisation and surface radiative impact of Arctic low clouds from the IAOOS field experiment
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2020-918
The Vulcan Version 3.0 High?Resolution Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions for the United States
Modeling & simulation of global warming & global warming effects
Robust Arctic warming caused by projected Antarctic sea ice loss
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abaada
Robust acceleration of stratospheric moistening and its radiative feedback under greenhouse warming
ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-6309
The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2682
Projected changes in vertical temperature profiles for Australasia
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05392-2
Impact of methane and black carbon mitigation on forcing and temperature: a multi-model scenario analysis
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02794-3
Does comprehensive evaluation of hydrological models influence projected changes of mean and high flows in the Godavari River basin?
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02847-7
Consequences of permafrost degradation for Arctic infrastructure – bridging the model gap between regional and engineering scales
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-192
Modelling regional glacier length changes over the last millennium using the Open Global Glacier Model
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3135-2020
The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020
Modelling steady states and the transient response of debris-covered glaciers
Climate velocity in inland standing waters
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0889-7
Hotspots of dense water cascading in the Arctic Ocean: implications for the Pacific water pathways
Climate Response to Increasing Antarctic Iceberg and Ice Shelf Melt
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0881.1
Interactions between Increasing CO 2 and Antarctic Melt Rates
Projected drought conditions in Northwest China with CMIP6 models under combined SSPs and RCPs for 2015?2099
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.003
Mid-summer surface air temperature and its internal variability over China at 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.005
Evaluation and projection of daily maximum and minimum temperatures over China using the high-resolution NEX-GDDP dataset
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05404-1
Pseudo-global warming projections of extreme wave storms in complex coastal regions: the case of the Adriatic Sea
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05397-x
Will the wind associated with the Adriatic storm surges change in future climate?
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03379-x
Climate model advancement
Understanding differences in California climate projections produced by dynamical and statistical downscaling
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032812
Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3155-2020
A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020
Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105261
An overview of the performance of CMIP6 models in the tropical Atlantic: mean state, variability, and remote impacts
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05409-w
Does comprehensive evaluation of hydrological models influence projected changes of mean and high flows in the Godavari River basin?
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02847-7
Brief communication: Time step dependence (and fixes) in Stokes simulations of calving ice shelves
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-2019-315
One simulation, different conclusions—the baseline period makes the difference!
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aba3d7
Cryosphere & climate change
The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Driving Forces of Circum-Antarctic Glacier and Ice Shelf Front Retreat over the Last Two Decades
Buoyant calving and ice-contact lake evolution at Pasterze Glacier (Austria) in the period 1998–2019
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-227
Paleoclimate
Atlantic Hurricane response to Sahara greening and reduced dust emissions during the mid-Holocene
The 3.6-Ma aridity and westerlies history over midlatitude Asia linked with global climatic cooling
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1922710117
Learning from the past: impact of the Arctic Oscillation on sea ice and marine productivity off northwest Greenland over the last 9000 years
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15334
Biology & global warming
Advancing nature?based approaches to address the biodiversity and climate emergency
Insects in high?elevation streams: life in extreme environments imperiled by climate change
Rapid onsets of warming events trigger mass mortality of coral reef fish
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2009748117
A quantitative framework reveals ecological drivers of grassland microbial community assembly in response to warming
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18560-z
Climate velocity in inland standing waters
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0889-7
The problem of scale in predicting biological responses to climate
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15358
Summer warming explains widespread but not uniform greening in the Arctic tundra biome
Measuring the evolutionary potential of a winter-active parasitic wasp to climate change
The effect of climate change on laying dates, clutch size and productivity of Eurasian Coots Fulica atra
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-01972-3
Predicting impacts of climate variability on Banj oak ( Quercus leucotrichophora A. Camus) forests: understanding future implications for Central Himalayas
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-020-01696-5
Projecting the future vegetation–climate system over East Asia and its RCP-dependence
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05411-2
Long?term effects of 7?year warming experiment in the field on leaf hydraulic and economic traits of subtropical tree species
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15355
Projected expansion of Trichodesmium’s geographical distribution and increase in growth potential in response to climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15324
Shifts in aquatic insect composition in a tropical forest stream after three decades of climatic warming
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15325
Long?term warming destabilizes aquatic ecosystems through weakening biodiversity?mediated causal networks
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15323
Relative impacts of land?use and climate change on grasshopper range shifts have changed over time
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/geb.13188
GHG sources & sinks, flux
Carbon dioxide balance of an oil palm plantation established on tropical peat
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108189
Greenhouse gas balance in global pasturelands and rangelands
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abaa79
CO2 removal & mitigation science & engineering
Tree planting has the potential to increase carbon sequestration capacity of forests in the United States
Open Access DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2010840117
Systematizing and upscaling urban climate change mitigation
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abb0b2
Black carbon
Examining the atmospheric radiative and snow-darkening effects of black carbon and dust across the Rocky Mountains of the United States using WRF-Chem
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-2019-998
Climate change communications & cognition
Climate change uncertainty among American farmers: an examination of multi-dimensional uncertainty and attitudes towards agricultural adaptation to climate change
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02860-w
Indiscriminate, Irrelevant, and Sometimes Wrong: Causal Misconceptions about Climate Change
DOI: 10.1111/risa.13587
Environmental Literature as Persuasion: An Experimental Test of the Effects of Reading Climate Fiction
DOI: 10.1080/17524032.2020.1814377
Who feels the impacts of climate change?
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/nindia.2013.68
Agronomy & climate change
Climate risks to Brazilian coffee production
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aba471
Impact of climate change on storage conditions for major agricultural commodities across the contiguous United States
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02873-5
Assessment of the impacts of climate change on agro-climatic indices in Iran
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03385-z
Economics & finance of climate change & mitigation
Model Uncertainty in Climate Change Economics: A Review and Proposed Framework for Future Research
DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00503-3
Carbon pricing and planetary boundaries
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18342-7
Constant carbon pricing increases support for climate action compared to ramping up costs over time
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00914-6
Stranded investment associated with rapid energy system changes under the mid-century strategy in Japan
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s11625-020-00862-2
Downscaling consumption to universal basic income level falls short of sustainable carbon footprint in Finland
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.09.006
Public support for carbon taxation in Turkey: drivers and barriers
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1816887
Climate change mitigation & adaptation public policy research
A bridge too far? The role of natural gas electricity generation in US climate policy
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111867
The impact of strategic climate legislation: evidence from expert interviews on the UK Climate Change Act
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2020.1819190
Climate change adaptation
Watershed communities’ livelihood vulnerability to climate change in the Himalayas
Other
Insights into the future of soil erosion
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2017314117
Social as much as environmental: the drivers of tree biomass in smallholder forest landscape restoration programmes
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab96d1
Fast climate responses to aerosol emission reductions during the COVID?19 pandemic
Informed opinion, nudges & calls to initiatives
Advancing nature?based approaches to address the biodiversity and climate emergency
Scientific Communities Striving for a Common Cause: Innovations in Carbon Cycle Science
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0306.1
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